AVAX / TetherUS
Panjang

AVAX/USDT Massive Trend Reversal: Breakout from 8-Month Downtren

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AVAX has just delivered one of its most technically significant moves in recent months. After spending over 8 months trapped under a descending resistance line, price action has finally broken free — suggesting a potential trend reversal and the beginning of a much larger bullish phase.


🧠 Pattern & Structure Breakdown:

📌 Descending Trendline Breakout
AVAX had been forming a descending triangle pattern, characterized by consistent lower highs and a horizontal support zone between $14.66 – $22. The recent bullish breakout from this structure, accompanied by strong volume, is a highly encouraging sign for bulls.

📌 Accumulation Zone Identified
The yellow zone on the chart ($14.66 – $22) has proven to be a strong demand zone where buyers consistently stepped in. The recent rally originates from this base, indicating possible institutional accumulation.

📌 Critical Horizontal Resistance at $25.80
Price is now testing the $25.80 resistance zone, which historically acted as a supply area. A successful daily close and confirmation above this level would officially flip the structure bullish.



📈 Bullish Scenario – Multi-Level Upside Targets:

If AVAX confirms the breakout above $25.80, these are the key bullish targets ahead:

🎯 Target 1: $28.79 – minor resistance & potential short-term TP zone

🎯 Target 2: $31.09 – previous price equilibrium

🎯 Target 3: $35.66 – key pivot from past market structure

🎯 Target 4: $41.29 and $44.01 – heavy historical supply zones

🎯 Target 5 (measured move): $54.00 to $55.79 – the projected breakout target from the descending triangle pattern

This move would represent a full technical recovery if AVAX aligns with broader market sentiment and Bitcoin remains stable or bullish.



📉 Bearish Scenario – Pullback Risks:

On the flip side, if price fails to sustain above $25.80 and gets rejected:

⚠️ A retest of $24.00 – $22.00 is likely

⚠️ If that zone breaks down, next support lies at $19.00 – $17.00

⚠️ A loss of the $17 level may trigger a return to the critical low near $14.66


This would invalidate the bullish breakout and return AVAX into a sideways or downward consolidation phase.



🔍 Additional Technical Insights:

✅ Volume is steadily increasing — showing renewed buying pressure
✅ Indicators like RSI and MACD (if applied) are likely showing bullish divergence
✅ Overall altcoin sentiment is improving, providing a tailwind for AVAX's potential breakout continuation



🧩 Final Thoughts:

AVAX is at a pivotal moment in its medium-term price structure. The breakout above the long-term downtrend line is a strong technical shift. A confirmed breakout and hold above $25.80 could trigger a multi-week or multi-month rally targeting $40 – $55+.

However, traders should be cautious of possible pullbacks and manage risk accordingly — especially as resistance zones from previous structures are being tested.

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