Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd.
Panjang

BABA Clears Multi-Year Resistance, Eyes $148–$188 Next

188
Weekly Structure:
  • BABA has broken out of a multi-year base between $100–$126, clearing resistance that capped rallies for almost 2 years.
  • Price is now targeting the next major resistance levels:
  • $148.5 → prior high and Fib cluster.
  • $157.8 (Fib 0.382 retracement).
  • Medium-term upside could extend to $188.6 if momentum sustains.


Daily Structure (Micro View):
  • Strong breakout candle above $127–$130 confirms bulls in control.
  • Immediate supports now flip bullish: $127, $123.5, and $120.
  • Trend alignment: short, mid, and long EMAs are stacked positively (classic trend confirmation).


Indicators:

  • PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator, top grid): Both signal lines are rising and staying in the green zone → momentum remains bullish.
  • RSI (bottom grid): Currently at 63, strong but not overbought. Shows room for continuation toward 70–75 before risk of pullback.


When is the Uptrend Negated?
  • The bullish thesis holds as long as price respects the breakout structure:
  • Invalidation: Loss of $120 (Fib 0.236 + EMA cluster) would flip structure bearish again and re-open risk to $111–108 support.


Indicators check:
  • If PMO turns down with a red signal cross, momentum is exhausted.
  • If RSI fails to hold 50 on a pullback, uptrend strength is negated.


Summary Bullish Path:
  • Holding above $123–$126 keeps bulls in full control.
  • Upside targets: $148 → $157 → $188.
  • Uptrend is negated only on a decisive break below $120 with PMO + RSI confirming weakness.

Penafian

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