BHEL : What is next?

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BHEL Stock Analysis

  1. []Entry Zone: ₹218–₹229 (Ideal buying range).
    []Targets:

    First Target: ₹300–₹308.
    Final Target: ₹350–₹368.
  2. Stop Loss: ₹194 (Below the extended retracement zone).

Analysis Highlights:

The stock is in a corrective phase but shows potential for a strong rebound from key support zones.
Short-term resistance at ₹255–₹260. Breakout above this could lead to a rally.
Action Plan: Accumulate in the buy zone for swing trading with controlled risk and solid upside potential.
Deeper and Educational Insights

  1. Elliott Wave Theory Application:

    The stock is completing corrective Wave 4-wave pattern. This is followed by a impulsive Wave 3, typically retracing a portion of the prior rally.

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    The retracement aligns with Fibonacci levels, highlighting ₹218–₹229 as a high-probability buy zone.
  2. Key Levels to Watch:

    Support Zones:
    ₹218–₹229: This is the primary retracement buy zone for a favorable risk/reward ratio.
    ₹152: The final support at the lower band of the correction zone on the weekly chart.
    Resistance and Target Zones:
    ₹255–₹260: First resistance and liquidity zone. Expect price to pause or consolidate here.
    ₹300–₹308: First target zone, where partial profit booking is advisable.
    ₹350–₹368: Final target zone, marking a fresh high.
  3. Risk Management:

    Stop Loss: Place below ₹194 to limit downside risk. This aligns with the deep retracement zone and protects capital in case of extended corrections.
  4. Entry Strategy:

    Use staggered buying within ₹218–₹229. This method helps reduce risk exposure in case of volatility.
  5. Market Psychology:

    The current corrective phase represents profit-taking and demand generation. Once buyers regain momentum, the stock is likely to test higher resistance zones.
  6. Why This Setup Works:

    The retracement zone reflects institutional demand, and historical price action suggests strong support levels in this area.
    The alignment with Fibonacci levels and Elliott Wave theory increases the probability of a successful trade.

Key Takeaways for Learning:

Always identify buy zones based on technical indicators like Fibonacci and chart patterns.
Use stop-loss orders to limit downside risk and protect capital.
Monitor resistance levels for partial exits and re-entry opportunities.


Conclusion:
This setup is a textbook example of combining Elliott Wave Theory with Fibonacci retracement. Traders can use this to plan entries, exits, and manage risks effectively. It’s a bullish scenario with clear targets and defined risk limits.

Penafian

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