Over the past couple of months, I’ve been tracking the development of a potential high time frame (HTF) Wyckoff distribution range forming on BTC Dominance (BTC.D), and it’s now looking like that structure is starting to break down.
Back on June 14th, I noted that while we hadn’t confirmed a trend shift yet, BTC.D was showing strength and likely to push into the 65% region, with altcoin weakness to follow. The very next day, I shared my idea of a potential Wyckoff distribution forming — and since then, it’s followed that path almost perfectly.
🧠 What’s Happened Since?
✅ Sweep of the HTF range high at ~65%
✅ Second deviation of the highs
✅ Volume divergence into supply — declining volume + strong rejection candles
✅ Formation of a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution)
✅ 1D bearish market structure break after the sweep
✅ Price now back inside the range
This is textbook distribution behaviour — even if it doesn’t follow the Wyckoff schematic to the letter, the key elements are present: deviation, volume drop-off, and structural breakdown.
🔮 What Comes Next?
BTC.D is currently holding inside a prior unmitigated daily demand, but given the structural shift, I’m expecting:
A pullback to 65–65.5% (daily supply + range high retest)
Then a continuation bearish, targeting:
🔸 49% (prior accumulation range high)
🔻 46% (FVG fill + range breakout retest)
These lower targets align with where I expect altcoins to top out — so as BTC.D breaks down, I expect capital to rotate hard into ETH and alts, triggering the final phase of altseason before the macro cycle top.
⚠️ Why This Matters
This distribution range has been developing since late 2024, and with BTC.D now showing bearish market structure, combined with:
- ETH.D flipping bullish
- OTHERS.D pushing higher
- Stablecoin dominance pairs breaking down
…we’re seeing confluence across the board for a risk-on altcoin environment.
I believe this is the setup that leads to the final euphoric altcoin rotation before the 4-year cycle top prints later this year.
📌 Watch for the retest. Watch for the rejection. The breakdown will be fast.
This is the window — time to stay sharp.
Let me know in the comments if you’ve been tracking this too, or drop your altcoin rotation picks.
— Marshy 🔥
1D:
3D:
1W:
1M:
Back on June 14th, I noted that while we hadn’t confirmed a trend shift yet, BTC.D was showing strength and likely to push into the 65% region, with altcoin weakness to follow. The very next day, I shared my idea of a potential Wyckoff distribution forming — and since then, it’s followed that path almost perfectly.
🧠 What’s Happened Since?
✅ Sweep of the HTF range high at ~65%
✅ Second deviation of the highs
✅ Volume divergence into supply — declining volume + strong rejection candles
✅ Formation of a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution)
✅ 1D bearish market structure break after the sweep
✅ Price now back inside the range
This is textbook distribution behaviour — even if it doesn’t follow the Wyckoff schematic to the letter, the key elements are present: deviation, volume drop-off, and structural breakdown.
🔮 What Comes Next?
BTC.D is currently holding inside a prior unmitigated daily demand, but given the structural shift, I’m expecting:
A pullback to 65–65.5% (daily supply + range high retest)
Then a continuation bearish, targeting:
🔸 49% (prior accumulation range high)
🔻 46% (FVG fill + range breakout retest)
These lower targets align with where I expect altcoins to top out — so as BTC.D breaks down, I expect capital to rotate hard into ETH and alts, triggering the final phase of altseason before the macro cycle top.
⚠️ Why This Matters
This distribution range has been developing since late 2024, and with BTC.D now showing bearish market structure, combined with:
- ETH.D flipping bullish
- OTHERS.D pushing higher
- Stablecoin dominance pairs breaking down
…we’re seeing confluence across the board for a risk-on altcoin environment.
I believe this is the setup that leads to the final euphoric altcoin rotation before the 4-year cycle top prints later this year.
📌 Watch for the retest. Watch for the rejection. The breakdown will be fast.
This is the window — time to stay sharp.
Let me know in the comments if you’ve been tracking this too, or drop your altcoin rotation picks.
— Marshy 🔥
1D:
3D:
1W:
1M:
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