Bitcoin

Bitcoin Short Term Macro Analysis

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Lets look at Bitcoin at a macro level,

As the pitchfork shows, we haven't breached from the down channel yet, but we have invalidated the down trend scenario by breaching 11400.
I believe we are still in wave 3 of an up trend because yesterday's correction was non-existent (not proper size) and too shallow to call it a wave 4. It was a bull run and continuation of a trend's subwave of a lesser degree.

Next, we will most likely go to Target 1 12000-12250 (1.272 of wave 1 and major resistance level) Decision Point level in attempt to break out of a down channel.
Watch closely the decision point levels to make your next move, be it either long or short.
From there we will either:

- have an up trend wave 4 correction of proper size to start a wave 5, break out of a down channel and breach 12250 once again to go to next Target 2 13000-13500 (1.618 of wave 1 and major resistance).
There's also a chance that wave 3 will go past Target 1

- have a larger ABC correction to 9000 (breaking of this major support will invalidate the up trend) in a move to Z



Please note, this is a Bitstamp chart.

Good Luck!

Please don't trade based only on my analysis. It can be dangerous. I'm not responsible for your losses.

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