Bitcoin Volume Weighted Cycle Model (VWC)

SHAFF’s Volume Weighted Cycle (VWC) Model uses the monthly time frame and has predictive capacity using the following conditions:

BULL MARKET CONTINUATION:

1) Volume change stays positive (green)
2) 12 Day Exponential Moving Average stays above the 100 Week Exponential Moving Average
3) Positive MACD

BEAR MARKET BEGINNING:

1) Volume change turns negative (red)
2) 12 Day Exponential Moving Average crosses the 200 Day Simple Moving Average
3) 12 Day Exponential Moving Average crosses the 100 Week Exponential Moving Average

BEAR MARKET BOTTOM:

1) 12 Day Exponential Moving Average reaches +30% distance beneath the 100 Week Exponential Moving Average