BTC at some support levels

8 Sep

Lets look at BTC. Some people have been saying that its getting ready to take off again, so I wanted to do my own analysis.

I've got three indicators I'm using here.
- Wedges/channels (the thin green lines)
- Fibs - the gold colored fib levels
- Wick Strength - the oscilalator at the bottom

First, Wedges.
We can see that price is at the bottom of a wedge/channel. Its been pretty consistent on the plotted wedges that breakouts have been significant. However with the support of the Wick Strength as well as support of the 0.382 fib level, it looks like we might return to the top of the channel rather than crashing through the bottom.

Next, Fibs.
Fibonacci are one of my favorite technicals and popular for a reason. Look at all the times price has bounced right off a near-exact fib level! Recently BTC hit the 0.5 with a STRONG support. And here we are again at the 0.382. Looking left on this line we can see multiple wax and wick bottoms rejecting at this price point in recent months.

Lastly, Wick Strength.
I'm still learning this one as its new, but here's what I've seen. In up markets, Wick Strength is low, because there is constant downward pressure from all the bears. So the top wicks are long, and the bottom wick are short. (Indicating that bulls are stronger since wax is bullish, but bears still have a voice and top wicks are longer than bottom). In down markets, its the opposite, and the Wick Score goes up due to longer bottom wicks by the bulls. Here, Wick Strength is relatively high actually, and we're in a flag price action pattern. Looking like Wick Strength will come down as the market takes off bullish again.

Just at thought! We'll see what happens.
What do you think?