Hello.
Have been studying, learning and viewing the charts.
Hoping to share this idea as a current view of the market from a student.
Feeling that the run from $3000 to $13800 may have found exhaustion.
If we break above the 50 ema on the hourly chart around $11600 then I think it is possible
that we are finishing a triangle in sub wave 4 before the last impulse.
Personally I think we are in sub wave 2 and are going to correct over 50% during a WXY
Alternate estimate:
Have been studying, learning and viewing the charts.
Hoping to share this idea as a current view of the market from a student.
Feeling that the run from $3000 to $13800 may have found exhaustion.
If we break above the 50 ema on the hourly chart around $11600 then I think it is possible
that we are finishing a triangle in sub wave 4 before the last impulse.
Personally I think we are in sub wave 2 and are going to correct over 50% during a WXY
Alternate estimate:
Nota
Still feels to me like we are finishing a flat but that the flat wouldnt have a target low enough to satisfy Elliott wave rules.I think we will form a double three with X starting at $9k and Y starting at $12k
leading us down to $7250 which i find is a fib confluence zone.
Hitting the WXY 1:1 ratio and the 61.8% retracement
Nota
Updated the Zig Zag to fit the 3-7-11 Swings conceptNota
Also made the Zig Zag a 5-3-5 as it should beNota
Ready for the flat to end in the next couple daysNota
Flat (3-3-5) finishing upNota
Cleaner on the 4 hour chartNota
Nota
My timing & target was pretty closeThinking we play in a range for a few days. Possible triangle formation.
Looking for price to drop closer to $10k then eyeing $12k
Nota
To $12k from here to finish off the rest of the monthI thought $10k would hold so I jumped in early there
Held all the way down thinking $9500 would be my invalidation number
as 61.8% retracement fib level was there.
Added more from bank since I jumped in early.
Another lesson in why I need to wait for confirmation.
The X leg is tough to plan
Nota
I was tired when I typed 61.8% instead of 78.6%Nota
Someone is really messing with my emotions! Not sure $12k by the 31st will happen now.
Still feeling we have to break upwards from here some
Nota
Unforeseen market manipulationWhale had 4k BTC sold on Binance, not sure if any other exchange activity by them.
Back to trying to break upward again
Nota
Still estimating we are in an ABC Any Three of a WXYEstimating we will pivot in a few days around $11700
but the target is the supply line (Gann 8/1)
Time cycle caught the change of charactor
Work keeps me from actively posting
Nota
Possible Ending DiagonalNota
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.