Unfortunately, my first significant technical target @ 27'169 has not been reached... Indeed, following the low of 28'600, reached yesterday afternoon, BTC managed a very nice recovery, in breaking up, very quickly, several resistance level on H1, beginning with TS, KS ahead of Mid Bollinger Band; interesting to note that MBB hold the pullback attempt in rejecting the downside breakout. Currently on H1, a "RISING WEDGE" pattern in on progress with its bottom support around the clouds area. So, a failure to move above the former high (@ 34'438) and also to hold above the clouds support area would confirm a top in place calling for renewing selling pressure and putting the focus on the level of MBB (32'213) as first significant support on this H1 time frame; a confirmation will be given by a breakout of the KS, currently @ 31518. CONCLUSION : Watch carefully a the price action on shorter time frames which will either validate or invalidate this potential rising wedge formation, which if confirmed would trigger a downside move of roughly 4'250 pts from the downside breakout, targeting in this case, a retest of former low @ 28'600
A sustainable move above 34'438 would put the focus on the 35'000 area (34'970 being the 50% Fib ret of the 41'341-28'600 downside move) Watch also H4 price action, which for the time being is attempting to upside breakout the downtrend line resistance (MBB currently @ 33632 should also be seen as a good barometer for further development as a failure to hold above this level on H4 closing should also be seen as a warning signal of a reversal. Have a nice trading day All the best and take care Ironman8848
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