Bitcoin

BTC 1W Cycle Map — 1064-Day Cadence Intact (update)

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📊 BTC 1W Cycle Map — 1064-Day Cadence Intact
🎯 Top window: Week of 06 Oct ’25 (± 1–2 weeks)

🧩 Cycle structure (from chart):

  • 1064-day rhythm to macro top has played out in 2013, 2017, and 2021.
  • From the Nov ’22 cycle low, the next 1064d lands on Oct ’25 → that’s my projected cycle top zone.
  • Each cycle shows ATH break → retest → terminal leg before topping. Orange circles = retests. We’ve completed ours.
  • Bear markets have been rhythmic: ~52 weeks / 364 bars of decline post-top. Marked in red for all past cycles.


📈 RSI setup:

  • 1W RSI downtrend break has always preceded the final blow-off leg.
  • Currently coiling just under that trendline (big red arrow). A confirmed breakout is my ignition trigger.


🔍 Key chart signals:

  • Blue/green capitulation buy dots (hash ribbon + cycle models) historically cluster before major legs up, not at tops.
  • Volume cycles also show ~114 weeks (798 days) of expansion phases between retest and top.


📌 My read:
  • If RSI fails and price closes <95–100k weekly, I’ll treat it as an early-top scenario.


⏳ Post-top expectations:
~1 year of decline/mean reversion → likely retrace to prior breakout demand (mid-70s to low-80s).

Chart from 2023

long term chart

Penafian

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