Hello Traders, welcome back to this market breakdown.
In this video, I explain the time cycle of Bitcoin and what a good time to sell is.
1. Halving Cycle Structure
This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns.
Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles
1. Halving Cycle Structure
Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into:
Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth.
Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery.
Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods.
2. Historical Price Performance
Cycle 1 (2012 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 11644%
Pre-Halving having: +390%
Post halving +2947%
96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Cycle 2 (2016 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 2503%
Pre Halving: +213%
Post halving +703%
91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving
Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going...
Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths
Pre Halving: +234% so far
Post halving +92% so far
If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price.
3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions
Projected move: 270K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds.
Bear Market (2027–2028):
Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation
Trade safe
Tarder Leo
In this video, I explain the time cycle of Bitcoin and what a good time to sell is.
1. Halving Cycle Structure
This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns.
Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles
1. Halving Cycle Structure
Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into:
Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth.
Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery.
Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods.
2. Historical Price Performance
Cycle 1 (2012 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 11644%
Pre-Halving having: +390%
Post halving +2947%
96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Cycle 2 (2016 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 2503%
Pre Halving: +213%
Post halving +703%
91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving
Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going...
Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths
Pre Halving: +234% so far
Post halving +92% so far
If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price.
3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions
Projected move: 270K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds.
Bear Market (2027–2028):
Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation
Trade safe
Tarder Leo
For more information: t.me/BeatTMarket
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
For more information: t.me/BeatTMarket
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.