#Bitcoin – What’s Really Happening? Daily Structure + Macro

#Bitcoin – What’s Really Happening?
Daily Structure + Macro Setup = Big Move Loading

🔸 1D Chart: BTC Range-Bound Between $125K–$110K
Bitcoin is currently trading inside a tight sideways range, marked by resistance near $125,000 and support around $110,000. This is now the third time we've seen price consolidate in this green zone.

🔸 In the previous two attempts, BTC briefly dipped below support before quickly reclaiming the level — classic fakeouts, not real breakdowns. The current price behavior mirrors that same structure.

🔸 What If BTC Drops Again?
A dip below $110K or even toward $100K should not trigger panic. Historically, these wicks below the range are liquidity grabs — not signs of weakness. As long as the 200 MA holds and price doesn’t sustain under $100K, the macro trend remains bullish.

🔸 Key Zones:
– Immediate support: $112,398
– Major support: $100K psychological level
– Structure invalidation: Sustained loss below $100K (not expected)

🔸 Macro Outlook: Still Bullish
While BTC chops sideways, the broader environment is heating up:

🔸 Trump-EU Mega Trade Deal
Markets just got a major catalyst — a massive U.S.–EU agreement that includes:
– $750B in U.S. energy exports
– $600B in EU investment
– $150B in energy purchases from U.S.
This clears out tariff fears and opens the door for stocks and crypto to run. Risk appetite is returning fast.

🔸 Whale Activity Panic = Noise
Galaxy Digital wallet movement spooked the market temporarily, pushing BTC to $114,500. But zoom out:
– ETF inflows still dominate daily sell volume
– BlackRock continues absorbing supply
– Long-term whales haven’t sold — they’re holding
This was not a breakdown. It was a shakeout. Accumulation is still happening.

🔸 The Real Fuel: M2 Money Supply
Here’s where things really align for the bulls:
– In 2020, a 25% rise in M2 → BTC 800% rally
– In 2025 so far: +2.3% increase, and we’re still in “tightening”
– Largest M2 spike: +0.63% in June
Given BTC typically lags M2 by 60–90 days, the June print is setting up for a 15–17.5% upside over the coming weeks. That puts us on a clear path toward $130,000+

🔸 Bitcoin is sideways, not weak. Range-bound price action is accumulation, not distribution. Macro signals are aligning, M2 is expanding, and whale panic was short-lived.
We’re not just holding a range — we’re coiling for the breakout.

You’re early. Stay ready.

#bitcoin