#BTCUSDT at a Turning Point: Volume, Pattern & Macro Analysis

🚀 BTCUSDT.P is potentially entering the final phase of a correction, but key levels have not yet been broken or confirmed — caution and reliance on validated signals are essential.

✅ Technical Analysis:
📈 Overall Timeframe Context:
➡️ 1H (hourly chart): A “double bottom” structure is forming, suggesting potential for a local rebound. Volume is gradually increasing at the second reversal point (Bottom 2), confirming growing buyer interest. A resistance zone is forming near the POC (83,236.9), but the price has yet to firmly break above 77,000.


➡️ 4H (4-hour chart): A more distinct “double top” pattern (Top 1 / Top 2) has already played out. Price broke down from the sideways range, falling below the lower boundary of the rectangle. It is currently trading near the key support level of 74,907.8 with an attempt to bounce back upward.


➡️ 1D (daily chart): A key observation is the breakdown of the ascending wedge, followed by the formation of a falling wedge — a potentially bullish pattern. The price is testing the lower edge of this wedge. A sharp increase in volume may indicate the start of an accumulation phase.

📍 Key Point:
➡️ The 74,907.8 level has been tested twice with strong volume response, reinforcing its role as a critical support zone.
➡️ A large liquidity cluster around the 83,000–84,000 POC zone could act as a price magnet in the event of a reversal.

📊 Volume Profile Analysis:
➡️ Across all timeframes, the POC is shifting toward the upper part of the range, confirming that buyers previously dominated the market. Redistribution now appears to be underway.
➡️ Most of the volume activity has been concentrated in the 83,000–85,000 range — if price returns to this zone, strong resistance is expected.

🔄 Market Structure:
➡️ A transition is underway from a distribution phase to a potential accumulation phase.
➡️ The downtrend remains active on the daily chart, but there are signs of momentum slowing and attempts to form a bottom.

✅ Fundamental Analysis:
🌐 Macroeconomic Outlook:
➡️ In early April, discussions about a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut are expected to continue — a moderately positive factor for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
➡️ BTCUSDT.P remains in the spotlight for institutional investors (with ongoing inflows into BTCUSDT.P ETFs), though geopolitical uncertainty and dollar liquidity pressure persist.

🏦 Capital Flows:
➡️ Trading volume remains high, but there is a lack of significant inflows, suggesting that major players may be adopting a wait-and-see stance.

📢 Recommendations for BTCUSDT.P:
📢 Closely monitor the price reaction in the 74,900–75,000 zone — a breakout or confirmation of support will determine short-term direction.
📢 The 78,279.2 level is a key resistance — its breakout could attract new buyers.
📢 Watch how price behaves within the falling wedge (1D); if the structure tightens and volume increases, a breakout may follow.
📢 Keep monitoring macroeconomic events — particularly U.S. inflation data and upcoming Fed meetings.
📢 Pay close attention to volume activity at local lows — this may be the key to spotting a trend reversal.