Bitcoin Analysis: Macro Tailwinds + Tape Reading = The Perfect B
🌍 Bitcoin Analysis: Macro Tailwinds + Tape Reading = The Perfect Bulltrap (or a Historic Breakout)
Published by: Pôncio Pacífico — The Portuguese God of Derivatives
⚡ Macro Context: Global Instability Is Pushing Bitcoin Up (For Now)
In the last 48 hours, Bitcoin has surged nearly 3%, hitting $87,500. This happened while:
The U.S. dollar weakened amid political instability (Trump challenging the Fed's authority)
Gold hit a new all-time high above $3,370/oz
Global equity markets corrected and bond yields declined
🔎 Sources: Bloomberg & Reuters
Bitcoin is behaving like a risk-off asset. Bullish at first glance, but the tape tells a more sinister story...
🕵️ On-Chain & Order Flow Analysis (last 5 days)
Delta: Negative delta candles with price still rising → classic short squeeze behavior
Open Interest: Increased during the pump, then flattened → sign of trapped FOMO longs
Volume: Strong at the beginning of the move, now fading while price still climbs → exhaustion?
Conclusion: we’re seeing short liquidations + late long entries = DANGER ZONE.
📊 Institutional Trading Scenarios (Macro + Tape Reading)
🚑 SCENARIO A: Bulltrap in Progress (most likely)
Short entry: $87,850–$88,000
Stop loss: $88,200
Target 1: $87,100
Target 2: $86,200
Trigger: Weak volume + flat delta + rising OI (FOMO)
🌪 SCENARIO B: Controlled Pullback, Institutional Re-entry
Long entry: $86,300
Stop: $85,800
Target 1: $87,500
Target 2: $88,800
Trigger: Volume spike + positive delta + stable OI
⚡ SCENARIO C: Authentic Breakout
Entry: $88,100
Stop: $87,600
Target: $89,800–90,000
Trigger: Aggressive delta + visible liquidations + strong volume breakout
💭 Final Pôncio Proclamation
"Macro says buy. Tape says wait. Combine both and you realize: whoever buys now without a plan... is paying for the market makers' champagne brunch."
Share this if you don’t want your gym buddy to long the top again.
#BTC #Futures #TapeReading #CryptoAnalysis #MacroTrading #InstitutionalTools #VolumeProfile #OpenInterest #ShortSqueeze
Published by: Pôncio Pacífico — The Portuguese God of Derivatives
⚡ Macro Context: Global Instability Is Pushing Bitcoin Up (For Now)
In the last 48 hours, Bitcoin has surged nearly 3%, hitting $87,500. This happened while:
The U.S. dollar weakened amid political instability (Trump challenging the Fed's authority)
Gold hit a new all-time high above $3,370/oz
Global equity markets corrected and bond yields declined
🔎 Sources: Bloomberg & Reuters
Bitcoin is behaving like a risk-off asset. Bullish at first glance, but the tape tells a more sinister story...
🕵️ On-Chain & Order Flow Analysis (last 5 days)
Delta: Negative delta candles with price still rising → classic short squeeze behavior
Open Interest: Increased during the pump, then flattened → sign of trapped FOMO longs
Volume: Strong at the beginning of the move, now fading while price still climbs → exhaustion?
Conclusion: we’re seeing short liquidations + late long entries = DANGER ZONE.
📊 Institutional Trading Scenarios (Macro + Tape Reading)
🚑 SCENARIO A: Bulltrap in Progress (most likely)
Short entry: $87,850–$88,000
Stop loss: $88,200
Target 1: $87,100
Target 2: $86,200
Trigger: Weak volume + flat delta + rising OI (FOMO)
🌪 SCENARIO B: Controlled Pullback, Institutional Re-entry
Long entry: $86,300
Stop: $85,800
Target 1: $87,500
Target 2: $88,800
Trigger: Volume spike + positive delta + stable OI
⚡ SCENARIO C: Authentic Breakout
Entry: $88,100
Stop: $87,600
Target: $89,800–90,000
Trigger: Aggressive delta + visible liquidations + strong volume breakout
💭 Final Pôncio Proclamation
"Macro says buy. Tape says wait. Combine both and you realize: whoever buys now without a plan... is paying for the market makers' champagne brunch."
Share this if you don’t want your gym buddy to long the top again.
#BTC #Futures #TapeReading #CryptoAnalysis #MacroTrading #InstitutionalTools #VolumeProfile #OpenInterest #ShortSqueeze
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Penerbitan berkaitan
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.