1. Price Action: - The price is trading near $91,575, following a significant sell-off with large red candles. - There is a small bounce after tapping into a green demand zone, suggesting potential short-term support.
2. Support & Resistance: - Strong Resistance: - $93,927 - $94,675 - $95,109 (cluster zone) - $96,118 - $96,756 (major resistance) - Support Levels: - The current green zone around $91,000 - If broken, next support appears closer to $89,000-$88,000.
3. Liquidation Levels (Circles on the Chart): - The large orange and blue circles represent high liquidation points. The orange circles above signal potential resistance as trapped longs may sell into rallies. - The blue circles below suggest liquidity that could attract further downside moves.
4. RSI (Relative Strength Index): - RSI sits around 24.5, in deep oversold territory, suggesting a potential bounce or consolidation. - However, RSI can remain oversold during strong downtrends.
5. Momentum Indicators: - Market Cipher B-like signals: - Green dots at the bottom, indicating potential bottom formation or relief bounce. - The momentum waves are still pointing downward but could flatten if buyers step in. - Bearish Divergence: Still visible in previous moves, so bulls need confirmation before a trend reversal.
6. Money Flow Index (MFI): - Negative flow continues, showing capital leaving the market, adding bearish pressure.
Scenarios & Predictions:
⚡ Scenario 1: Relief Bounce (Bullish Short-Term) - If the $91,000 support holds and RSI recovers from oversold, we could see: - Target 1: $93,927 - Target 2: $94,675 - $95,109 (key decision zone) - A break above $95,109 with volume could push towards $96,756. However, rejection is likely given heavy liquidity above.
⚡ Scenario 2: Breakdown (Bearish Continuation) - If $91,000 fails, expect a sharp decline toward: - Target 1: $89,000 - Target 2: $88,000 - Momentum and money flow indicators still favor this scenario unless buying volume spikes soon.
Overall Bias: - Short-term neutral-to-bearish, with potential for a relief bounce. - Watch for volume confirmation and RSI divergence on lower timeframes before entering long positions.
🕵️Key Levels to Watch: - $91,000: Immediate support. - $93,927 - $95,109: Short-term resistance cluster. - $89,000 - $88,000: Next downside target if the current support breaks.
⚡ Final Note: The market is showing exhaustion signs but needs confirmation for a reversal. If Bitcoin doesn’t hold the current level, the liquidity below could drive another sell-off. Always manage risk carefully—especially with heavy liquidity zones nearby.
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