Greetings to everyone, this is RONIN! 🔥
In this article, we will try to analyze the current trends in both the crypto market as a whole and specifically Bitcoin.
I believe you might have noticed a certain calming of movements within the price range of $100,000 to $94,000. Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has been fluctuating within this range, gradually and slowly recovering 📈 but quickly returning to the price level 📉. Based on the chart, I can make a clear assumption that the market is in a local sideways range, which has locked our movements in anticipation of a further impulse and a breakout of the $103,000 level 🚀. However, we haven’t seen the price consolidate above this level.
📊 Level analysis shows that the market has attempted to break through the key support zone at $92,400 six times, but each time it approached this zone, massive buybacks occurred, pushing Bitcoin slightly upwards.
🤔 What is the market waiting for? Why isn't it surging to $120,000–$150,000 or dropping to $88,000?
The answer is simple: the market is currently driven by two emotions—fear and greed 😨🤑, as always, but now we have a very interesting situation that the crypto market has never been in before!
🧐 Let’s dive deeper into what’s happening here
We have the Trump effect 🇺🇸, which has awakened the American public and economy. More than 20 states are already planning to create Bitcoin reserves, and there are active discussions about establishing a national federal cryptocurrency reserve 🏦💰.
However, alongside this, we face the risk of economic instability and potential trade wars ⚔️ between the U.S. and China 🇺🇸🇨🇳 as well as the U.S. and Europe 🇺🇸🇪🇺.
❓ But why should trade wars concern us when we’re talking about cryptocurrency?
The answer is simple: these trade wars won’t directly impact crypto, but they will have an indirect effect.
📌 When the world is stable, investors are open to risk. They actively invest in cryptocurrencies, stocks, and ETFs 📈.
📌 When instability looms, they shift their capital into safe-haven assets 💰, such as gold 🏆, which has been breaking records over the past few months.
🔥 We’ve already witnessed how trade wars can indirectly influence the crypto market. For example, the recent Ethereum crash 🚨 from $3,200 to $2,100 overnight 😱—a 30% drop in market capitalization.
🔍 What’s actually happening?
💡 There are no specific negative news events for crypto, but there are technical liquidation imbalances.
Exchanges can manipulate liquidity 💹—for example, by selling or buying assets worth billions of dollars, forcing futures traders into liquidations 🚀💥.
That night alone, $8,000,000,000 was liquidated—setting a record for altcoin liquidations in a single day! 💣
🔑 What’s next?
Right now, there’s a strong fundamental trend:
✔️ Institutional investors are entering crypto 🏛️
✔️ The U.S., EU, and major countries are getting involved in cryptocurrency regulation and adoption 🌍
✔️ Futures ETFs and other financial instruments are making market entry easier 📊
But! 🤨
There are three "black swans" that could temporarily change the trend:
1️⃣ The U.S.-China Trade War ⚔️
– If tensions escalate, major players might use this for market manipulation 🎭
– I personally plan to hold through and buy assets at key support levels 🔄
2️⃣ Delays in the establishment of the federal Bitcoin reserve 🇺🇸🏦
– If there are delays and political disagreements, this could temporarily weaken investor interest ❄️
– However, this is only a matter of time, as the process is inevitable.
3️⃣ Geopolitical tensions 🕊️⚠️
– Conflicts in the Middle East, Europe, and other regions could create economic uncertainty.
– However, a swift resolution of the Russia-Ukraine war could be perceived positively by the market, boosting capital inflows into crypto 🚀
📈 Chart-Based Forecast
🔹 Key support level — $92,473 📍
🔹 If the price breaks below and consolidates for 2-3 daily candles, the market could enter a medium-term correction toward $80,000 – $72,000 😰
🔹 However, a bounce from $92,400 and a move toward $100,000 is a more likely scenario 🚀
At the moment, big players benefit from keeping the market in suspense, triggering stop-losses and liquidations for traders using leverage 💥.
📢 My conclusion: There is no fundamental reason for a major crash, but short-term manipulations are possible.
🔔 Follow me on TradingView! 📊
💡 Or check out my analytical resource, which will be fully operational soon! 💻🚀
In this article, we will try to analyze the current trends in both the crypto market as a whole and specifically Bitcoin.
I believe you might have noticed a certain calming of movements within the price range of $100,000 to $94,000. Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has been fluctuating within this range, gradually and slowly recovering 📈 but quickly returning to the price level 📉. Based on the chart, I can make a clear assumption that the market is in a local sideways range, which has locked our movements in anticipation of a further impulse and a breakout of the $103,000 level 🚀. However, we haven’t seen the price consolidate above this level.
📊 Level analysis shows that the market has attempted to break through the key support zone at $92,400 six times, but each time it approached this zone, massive buybacks occurred, pushing Bitcoin slightly upwards.
🤔 What is the market waiting for? Why isn't it surging to $120,000–$150,000 or dropping to $88,000?
The answer is simple: the market is currently driven by two emotions—fear and greed 😨🤑, as always, but now we have a very interesting situation that the crypto market has never been in before!
🧐 Let’s dive deeper into what’s happening here
We have the Trump effect 🇺🇸, which has awakened the American public and economy. More than 20 states are already planning to create Bitcoin reserves, and there are active discussions about establishing a national federal cryptocurrency reserve 🏦💰.
However, alongside this, we face the risk of economic instability and potential trade wars ⚔️ between the U.S. and China 🇺🇸🇨🇳 as well as the U.S. and Europe 🇺🇸🇪🇺.
❓ But why should trade wars concern us when we’re talking about cryptocurrency?
The answer is simple: these trade wars won’t directly impact crypto, but they will have an indirect effect.
📌 When the world is stable, investors are open to risk. They actively invest in cryptocurrencies, stocks, and ETFs 📈.
📌 When instability looms, they shift their capital into safe-haven assets 💰, such as gold 🏆, which has been breaking records over the past few months.
🔥 We’ve already witnessed how trade wars can indirectly influence the crypto market. For example, the recent Ethereum crash 🚨 from $3,200 to $2,100 overnight 😱—a 30% drop in market capitalization.
🔍 What’s actually happening?
💡 There are no specific negative news events for crypto, but there are technical liquidation imbalances.
Exchanges can manipulate liquidity 💹—for example, by selling or buying assets worth billions of dollars, forcing futures traders into liquidations 🚀💥.
That night alone, $8,000,000,000 was liquidated—setting a record for altcoin liquidations in a single day! 💣
🔑 What’s next?
Right now, there’s a strong fundamental trend:
✔️ Institutional investors are entering crypto 🏛️
✔️ The U.S., EU, and major countries are getting involved in cryptocurrency regulation and adoption 🌍
✔️ Futures ETFs and other financial instruments are making market entry easier 📊
But! 🤨
There are three "black swans" that could temporarily change the trend:
1️⃣ The U.S.-China Trade War ⚔️
– If tensions escalate, major players might use this for market manipulation 🎭
– I personally plan to hold through and buy assets at key support levels 🔄
2️⃣ Delays in the establishment of the federal Bitcoin reserve 🇺🇸🏦
– If there are delays and political disagreements, this could temporarily weaken investor interest ❄️
– However, this is only a matter of time, as the process is inevitable.
3️⃣ Geopolitical tensions 🕊️⚠️
– Conflicts in the Middle East, Europe, and other regions could create economic uncertainty.
– However, a swift resolution of the Russia-Ukraine war could be perceived positively by the market, boosting capital inflows into crypto 🚀
📈 Chart-Based Forecast
🔹 Key support level — $92,473 📍
🔹 If the price breaks below and consolidates for 2-3 daily candles, the market could enter a medium-term correction toward $80,000 – $72,000 😰
🔹 However, a bounce from $92,400 and a move toward $100,000 is a more likely scenario 🚀
At the moment, big players benefit from keeping the market in suspense, triggering stop-losses and liquidations for traders using leverage 💥.
📢 My conclusion: There is no fundamental reason for a major crash, but short-term manipulations are possible.
🔔 Follow me on TradingView! 📊
💡 Or check out my analytical resource, which will be fully operational soon! 💻🚀
"Knowledge is power, and those who hold it rule the world," said Nathan Rothschild. In our case, those who hold the right knowledge hold the keys to wealth.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
"Knowledge is power, and those who hold it rule the world," said Nathan Rothschild. In our case, those who hold the right knowledge hold the keys to wealth.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.