BTC Market Update by SatochiTrader
EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND.
Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash.
This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well.
We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections.
A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't.
The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview.
This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC.
Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND.
Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash.
This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well.
We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections.
A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't.
The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview.
This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC.
Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
Nota
BTC did end the cycle in this area, and did not meet the cycle rule of 1.2 time frame to enter new cycle, on this reason also BTC has high chance to return back below 100KEvery BTC cycle did confirm the 1.2 time frame, and we expect this should also, what not happen, which means that this is a false increase trend that can return asp to the start point.
Nota
Nota
Based on our analysis using the 1.2 timeframe and cycle data, our primary expectation is that BTC will drop below $100K. Although BTC currently appears strong within the 1.2 data window, we are approaching the end of a cycle — with no confirmation of a new one starting.This suggests that the current long volume may be misleading — a potential false signal — and could lead to a renewed downtrend, pushing BTC below the $100K level. Hedge funds and major whales should pay close attention to the 1.2 pattern, as it has historically repeated itself with BTC.
Dagangan aktif
HERE IS AN EXPLANATION IN 10% VIEW. Nota
BTC looks very bullish and green, but the deep data shows what else.Nota
Creating false volume is the best way to change the trend. All BTC crash views happened after green false volume.
Nota
Which means over 3H +-
Nota
The same theory about false volume, we have seen more times on high levels and low time frames as thisNota
BTC is at the top. The coming time is important after the end of cycle 2025.Nota
Even with the increases that we see now up 108K. BTC can start the correction at any time.We have seen this more time in the history of btc after false volume.
Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai
104K is the first expected target, by full crash trend,BTC can target 85K soon as the main target.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.