Setup
• Type: Rejection of 4H/1H supply → continuation lower.
• Zone to arm: 62.90–63.30 (overlapping 30m/1H supply + prior shelf).
• Triggers (must have both):
• 15-minute bearish confirmation (lower high + close back below ~62.95 from the zone).
• 5-minute bearish close in the zone with order-flow tilt (absorption/failure to lift).
(No confirmation = no trade.)
Entry & Risk
• Entry: MOS on the confirming 5m close within 62.90–63.30.
• Stop: 63.62 (above 1H supply high/swing). ≈ 0.32–0.72 risk depending on fill.
• Size: Calibrate so full-stop loss = ≤ 1R of your plan.
Targets (R:R from 63.10 mid-entry, 0.52 stop)
• TP1: 61.80 (prior-week low/shelf) → ~2.5R
• TP2: 61.10 (1H demand edge) → ~3.8R
• TP3: 60.50 (deeper 4H demand) → ~5.0R
Management
• Scale 1/2 at TP1; trail above last 5m swing after a fresh LL or hold for TP2.
• If price tags 63.30–63.50 and closes 15m above 63.50, invalidate the short idea until structure resets.
• Avoid fresh risk within ~10–15 min of EIA Wed 10:30 ET; re-arm after the first post-release 15m bar closes.
• Type: Rejection of 4H/1H supply → continuation lower.
• Zone to arm: 62.90–63.30 (overlapping 30m/1H supply + prior shelf).
• Triggers (must have both):
• 15-minute bearish confirmation (lower high + close back below ~62.95 from the zone).
• 5-minute bearish close in the zone with order-flow tilt (absorption/failure to lift).
(No confirmation = no trade.)
Entry & Risk
• Entry: MOS on the confirming 5m close within 62.90–63.30.
• Stop: 63.62 (above 1H supply high/swing). ≈ 0.32–0.72 risk depending on fill.
• Size: Calibrate so full-stop loss = ≤ 1R of your plan.
Targets (R:R from 63.10 mid-entry, 0.52 stop)
• TP1: 61.80 (prior-week low/shelf) → ~2.5R
• TP2: 61.10 (1H demand edge) → ~3.8R
• TP3: 60.50 (deeper 4H demand) → ~5.0R
Management
• Scale 1/2 at TP1; trail above last 5m swing after a fresh LL or hold for TP2.
• If price tags 63.30–63.50 and closes 15m above 63.50, invalidate the short idea until structure resets.
• Avoid fresh risk within ~10–15 min of EIA Wed 10:30 ET; re-arm after the first post-release 15m bar closes.
If you want to contact me here is my Discord channel discord.gg/wPHfYgv892
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
If you want to contact me here is my Discord channel discord.gg/wPHfYgv892
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.