How to trade Oil

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Looking at CL1! now, a break of Friday's low is a daily-down rotation. Below $100 opens the door back down to the $96.50 area, followed by ~$93 and the 200-day.

Oil bulls have not been used to seeing /CL in a downtrend this year. However, that's the case at the moment with the 10-day acting as active resistance, while it's below all of its major short- and intermediate-term moving averages, as well as uptrend support.

Longer term, the trend still remains constructive, but /CL is currently vulnerable.

On the upside, oil needs to reclaim $105 to $105.50 to unlock $110+ but it will need to do more than that to repair the recent stress on the charts.

Penafian

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