DELHIVERY Suggested Strategy

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Delhivery is a promising logistics stock showing recent operational turnaround, but currently trades at a stretched valuation with moderate growth prospects. Analysts recommend cautious accumulation or holding, rather than aggressive buying at current levels.

Target Projection
Target zones: ₹500–₹625
Current Price: ₹465
Upside potential: 6–29% if targets are met, but valuation leaves limited margin for aggressive entry.

Growth & Profitability
Q2 FY25 revenue: ₹2,190 crore (13% YoY growth)
PAT: ₹10 crore (second consecutive profitable quarter; signals gradual turnaround)
EBITDA margin: Improved (₹57 crore), net profit margin remains low (2.2%).

Valuation Analysis
PE (TTM): ~175.79 (high vs industry, reflects premium pricing)
Price/Book: ~3.7 (also on higher side)
Intrinsic value models suggest stock is overvalued by ₹215–₹158 above fair value estimates

Key Risks
Overvaluation risk: Stock prices significantly above many fair value models
Competitive risk: Sector heating up, may impact growth/margins
Volatility risk: Possible for sharp corrections in the short term.

Suggested Strategy
Accumulate only on dips toward ₹350–₹420 zone (closer to fair value)
Hold if already invested; consider profit booking if price sharply rallies beyond target zones
Aggressive buying is not advised at current valuation.​

Disclaimer: lnkd.in/ge86Wx-X

Penafian

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