haug01
Singkat

The relative currency contribution to the DXY surge after Trump

INDEX:DXY   US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX
A temper tantrum is an emotional outburst, usually associated with children or those in emotional distress, that is typically characterized by stubbornness, crying, screaming, defiance, anger ranting, a resistance to attempts at pacification and, in some cases, hitting (source wikipedia).

The Trumper Tantrum is a combination of fears about US trade wars and optimism about a possible US economic surge if Trump succeeds is growing the US economy and bringing overseas companies (and their cash) plus overseas investors back into the USA. Trump does not want a strong USD.

I am short DXY             and long AUXUSD (roughly follows the Yen), GDX             .

While tntsunrise and others expect a further fall in AUXUSD to $1120 or lower, I am respectfully more inclined to see JPYUSD             and AUXUSD rising if DXY             falls. The COT report for gold             , day, etc will be released Monday due to Friday being a federal holiday.
There will likely be multiple Fed/FOMC interest rate rises in the next 18 months which could strengthen DXY             . Inflation would hurt DXY             . I am more into the bond/debt crash camp with hyperinflation first and deflation later. Trump may succeed with the US economy and delay the bubble burst for a while.
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