1, USdollar is in a situaton could draw capitals from EEM market now. FRB is fishing with patients and let’s see which one would like to bite the hook.
2, EEM are many countries there're a lot of risks over there in the future. A capital squeezing will happen.
3, Weighted JPY colud benefit from safe haven. It’s not surprising to see JPY stronger because Yuan is devaluating now, a capital flowing.
4, If JPY is rising massively then the stock market won’t be very good but as long as USdollar is rising I think the stock market could keep trading higher range in 2016 untill it falls to correct the mature grand cycle from 2009 to 2016.
1, Log scale was broken and retested. This is very dangerous now, a wave 3 of 3 happens at any moment. Cloud be any geopolitics incident or conflict event , could be terrorism too.
2, Head shoulder PO is corresponding to WXY equal wave target. If JPY rises massively then DAX and SPX500 will retrace too, DAX could drop to 8000 and SPX 500 is correlated.
3, A correction.
4, Trade stocks with care in 2016.
From Sep. 2011 to the year of 2017 the gold is a compensation for stocks market, it's very interesting to see the changing of the Yen, the gold, the US dollar, Oz.
So it's gonna rise with the EEM together, but we must watch out the China Government 10Y bonds future market for buying it into a negative again.
Looking back the China bonds market, it's crazy, it's no administration in there...
My analysis may be the first one on TV to predict the EEM market is gonna rise.
A Renminbi's deposit rates hike may have been hidden by the PBOC. Something like the year of 2010 is happening in the markets now. When the western people are enjoying the inflations and the stocks rising the China markets are taking hits by the Japanese Yen's rising. If China hikes the US hikes shall be paused soon, they let the risks open fire at will.
Merry Christmas and happy new year!
The EEM market squeezing isn’t over yet. They should have hiked 3 years before, and now is perfect time to hike. But will they? By mistake again?
Stock market should drop to September before the FRB, could be worse, slowly drop into December and US dollar hike again.
Focus long the side, maybe earlier due to the China raise the basic deposit interests soon, but not sure.
It’s too early to say it, the Renminbi’s personal deposit interests is still negative, which will make assets price from buying rise to drop. PBOC didn’t understand the negative rules.
Please wait for the new year and see!