ES | SP500 - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25

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📈 Market Context:
Traders are currently anticipating a possible 0.25% rate cut during the upcoming September FOMC meeting, which continues to support the broader bullish framework.
Although the market pulled back after the Non-Farm Employment Change data came in below expectations, overall optimism remains.
Sentiment has now cooled off from last week's greed and shifted to a more neutral stance. Historically, August tends to bring some chop and pullbacks, but the structural bias still leans bullish.

🧾 Weekly Recap:
• ES kicked off the week with strong upward momentum, climbing steadily into Thursday.
• Along the way, price swept a key 4H swing high, breaking into new highs before initiating a retracement.
• This price action hinted at a short-term distribution and possible liquidity grab ahead of a correction.

📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan:
→ I'm anticipating a move into the Monthly Fair Value Gap — a high-probability liquidity zone on my radar.
→ That area could act as a springboard for bullish continuation or at least provide a strong reaction.
→ Until that happens, I remain short-biased targeting the 6226$ zone, which I've marked as a major level.

🎯 Setup Trigger:
Once price taps 6226$, I'll monitor for:
• Clear break of structure on the 4H and 1H timeframes
• Formation of new demand zones indicating potential reversal

→ On confirmation from the lower timeframes, I’ll shift my focus toward long setups, potentially targeting new highs.

📋 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Below the demand zone formed on 1H–4H
• Target: I’ll trail my stop to lock in profits as price moves higher
• Note: Although I’ll be watching for ATH retests, I plan to manage risk actively and book profits along the way

💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! I’ll be sharing more detailed setups and educational posts — stay connected!

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