Hadapan S&P 500 E-mini
Singkat
Telah dikemas kini

SPX head and shoulders possibly complete - Larger C may be next

2198
Looking at the futures charts today and I wanted to convey my thoughts for the week and also what I think may be coming for the next few months. There are a few other charts I've been talking about which seem to point to this idea as well (IWM, SOXX, XLF). A further bounce back up would not change this idea but getting over the summer's high would invalidate it for sure.

Good luck!
Nota
futures opened at resistance. syot kilat
Nota
they broke above resistance this morning. Could be a false break - in which case it drops before or after open, or they are going to test the previous high. syot kilat
Nota
so far they are having trouble at the .618 fib, doesn't mean anything yet. A break back under the channel would mean something. syot kilat
Nota
no breakdown yet, rsi could keep pushing up into tomorrow which means a test of the previous high. syot kilat
Nota
right now IWM does not look like it will go higher. syot kilat
Nota
good morning, no change overnight. If they get under the lower blue trendline it would be more bearish. Upper blue trendline could still be a target first however. syot kilat
Nota
red trendline seems valid, but they could keep retesting it higher. syot kilat
Nota
this count looks good to me, but we have to see a reversal this morning. Red trendline was adjusted, this looks better. syot kilat
Nota
upper trendline of channel about to get reached. they are taking time filling out the head and shoulders syot kilat
Nota
overall, this is the larger picture still syot kilat
Nota
spx now over it's 18day ma, a close above is bullish. syot kilat
Nota
we're now approaching a heavy resistance zone (4490-4500). syot kilat
Nota
ramp up into the end of the day, I'm still bearish fwiw. Tomorrow GDP before market opens. syot kilat
Nota
.618 fib is 4505 on cash, could extend to 4515 (.658). Over that and it will start looking worse for bears. syot kilat
Nota
correction is mature, but no idea if it's finished. Above 4535 and they will likely touch the high or get higher. syot kilat
Nota
they are likely going to push it up into the close to 4530 syot kilat
Nota
Good morning, 5th wave (if correct) to 4535 was this morning. This looks finished right now, wait for confirmation (Under 4500 and no higher high on the bounce) syot kilat
Nota
SOXX back to channel resistance. syot kilat
Nota
we're getting a reaction, but nothing is confirmed until we start breaking 4500 and holding under it. syot kilat
Nota
this is currently what I'm watching, no idea if this holds or not yet. Tomorrow should be more telling, see you then. syot kilat
Nota
nasdaq daily. syot kilat
Nota
we can't say it's a head and shoulders anymore, although rty still looks like one. I still believe this is an ABC with the C upward move ending soon. It's been a surprising move up, unfortunately I didn't see it. syot kilat
Nota
today, September 1 should be inflows of hedge funds etc, So I expect the move higher will continue today.
Nota
up to 4550 at least, then we'll see this area was support before, so it "should" be a resistance area on SPX syot kilat
Nota
difficult to say if it goes higher, some charts are at strong resistance, some aren't. syot kilat
Nota
this still could be 4 with a 5th wave next week. RSI is kinda low on mid time frames at this point. syot kilat

Penafian

Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.