ES (SPX, SPY) Key Levels, Analysis and Setups for Fri (Oct 7th)

EVENTS (ET, unaffected by shutdown): 3:00am NY Fed Williams speech; 7:00am Fed Vice Chair Jefferson speech; 10:00am Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (prelim); 2:00pm Fed G.19 Consumer Credit. Employment Situation report is postponed due to the shutdown (treat as no 8:30am print).

SETUPS (Level-KZ Protocol 15m→5m→1m)

ES LONG (A++) — 6,767 reclaim → 6,784 → 6,821
Entry: 6,768–6,772 after a 5m close and hold above 6,767 with 1m HL confirmation.
Hard SL: 6,755.
TP1: 6,784. TP2: 6,821. TP3: 6,845 if momentum persists.

ES SHORT (A++) — 6,784–6,790 pop-and-fail → 6,749 → 6,733
Entry: 6,782–6,789 on a 15m rejection close back inside the band followed by a 5m re-close down.
Hard SL: 6,796.
TP1: 6,767. TP2: 6,749. TP3: 6,733.

ES LONG (A+ Bounce) — 6,742–6,749 sweep & instant reclaim → 6,767 → 6,784
Entry: 6,750–6,753 after a swift reclaim and 1m HL.
Hard SL: 6,740.
TP1: 6,767. TP2: 6,784. TP3: 6,821.

ES SHORT (A+ Continuation) — 6,733 breakdown & retest → 6,700 → 6,659
Entry: 6,732–6,728 on 15m acceptance below 6,733 and a 5m LH retest.
Hard SL: 6,744.
TP1: 6,700. TP2: 6,659. TP3: 6,597.

KILL-ZONES & MANAGEMENT
Asia 20:00–00:00 optional and lighter size, London 02:00–05:00 optional, NY AM 09:30–11:00 primary for entries, Lunch 12:00–13:00 manage only, NY PM 13:30–16:00 allows second push or reversal plays. Daily guardrails: stop at −2R net or lock in ≥+3R net.