U.S. CPI data for April will be released this week, and the market expects that CPI will fall. After weak employment data was released earlier this month, assets rose, and BTC also rebounded sharply at the time of the release. Therefore, if CPI data can further confirm the role of current monetary policy, then the market correction may end.
On the other hand, the first deadlines for ETH spot ETFs are approaching. The SEC is expected to give its final response on May 23. Unlike BTC, we expect that the approval of ETH ETF will be difficult to pass or be postponed to Q3 due to POS mechanism and other factors.
As we predicted in our last Recap, ETH performed weakly. It almost fell with fluctuation, barely standing above 2900. This may be related to the fact that the market is not optimistic that the ETH ETF will be approved this month. On the WTA indicator, the blue column disappears and the trading volume decreases. The ME indicator is almost switching into a bearish trend.
To sum up, we believe that unless the possibility of ETH ETF being approved increases, ETH may remain volatile or fluctuate this week. We maintain our original resistance level 3700 and support level 2800.
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