Ethereum / TetherUS
Singkat

"ETH Warning Signal: Is a Bearish Breakdown Imminent?"

157
📊 Pattern Overview: Head and Shoulders
Left Shoulder: Formed around July 24th, marked by a high near $3,800 followed by a retracement.

Head: A higher peak on July 27th, topping out near $3,888, then pulling back again.

Right Shoulder: Currently anticipated, projected to form around the same height as the left shoulder, with a potential completion near $3,800 before another decline.

Neckline: Flat support line around $3,544, acting as the crucial level that, if broken, confirms the pattern.

🧠 Interpretation
The Head and Shoulders is generally interpreted as a trend reversal pattern. In this context, Ethereum has been in a strong uptrend, but the pattern signals a potential topping out and shift toward a bearish phase.

If ETH breaks below the neckline at $3,544 with volume confirmation, it would signal that bulls are losing control, and sellers may take over.

📉 Bearish Breakdown Target
The theoretical downside target can be calculated by measuring the distance from the Head to the Neckline and projecting it downward from the neckline:

Head peak: ~$3,888

Neckline: ~$3,544

Height: ~$344

📌 Target after breakdown:

$3,544 - $344 = $3,200 (approx.), with interim support levels around:

$3,332 (horizontal support)

$3,112

$2,917

These levels might act as pause points or bounce zones if the breakdown unfolds.

🟢 Invalidation Scenario
If Ethereum invalidates the pattern by:

Breaking above the Head level ($3,888) and holding

Sustaining higher highs with strong volume

Then the bearish thesis would be invalidated, and bulls may aim for continuation toward $4,000+ levels.

🧩 Strategic Takeaways
Aggressive traders might short the neckline break at $3,544, with stops just above the right shoulder (~$3,800).

Conservative traders may wait for a retest of the neckline post-breakdown.

Risk management is key, especially in crypto markets, which are known for head fakes and false breakouts.

⏳ Final Thought
This setup doesn't guarantee a drop—it merely increases the probability of a reversal. Watch for volume on the neckline break and monitor how price reacts at key support levels.

DYOR before taking a trade

Penafian

Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.