ETHUSDT - UniverseMetta - Analysis

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#ETHUSDT - UniverseMetta - Analysis
Potential reversal & correction setup in progress

๐Ÿ“† W1 โ€“ Weekly Timeframe
๐Ÿ”น Price is testing a major monthly resistance zone, from which price has previously rejected toward the lower edge of a large triangle structure
๐Ÿ”น According to the 3-wave structure, ETH has reached 161% of Wave 1 and closed above the 200% Fibo level
๐Ÿ”น If the price fails to make a new high this week, a top fractal may form โ€” a possible signal for a medium-term correction

๐Ÿ“‰ D1 โ€“ Daily Timeframe
๐Ÿ”น A double top pattern is forming, along with a potential retest of the trendline
๐Ÿ”น If confirmed, this could trigger a 3-wave correction structure downward
๐Ÿ”น A downward fractal is already printed โ€” adding confluence to the bearish scenario
๐ŸŽฏ Correction targets:
โ€ƒโ€ข $3,242
โ€ƒโ€ข $2,546

โณ H4 โ€“ 4H Timeframe
๐Ÿ”น Current price action suggests a correction from the recent impulse
๐Ÿ”น A 3rd wave may initiate upon trendline breakout
๐Ÿ”น Entry confirmation may come from breakout + retest, or via confirmed double top structure
๐Ÿ”น Stop should be placed above the high of Wave 1 (H4)

๐ŸŽฏ Trade Setup:
Entry: 0.64930
TP: 0.65404 - 0.65700 - 0.66164 - 0.66676
Stop: 0.64482

โ€ผ๏ธ Risk should not exceed 1โ€“3% of your portfolio
This signal/idea is not financial advice

๐Ÿ“Œ Key Fundamental Triggers to Watch:

๐Ÿ”น Federal Reserve expectations โ€“ a dovish shift could support ETH short-term, but failure to materialize may drive a pullback
๐Ÿ”น ETH ETF news โ€“ updates on applications, approvals, and volume flows can significantly impact sentiment
๐Ÿ”น Correlation with NASDAQ/S&P500 โ€“ weakness in equities could drag crypto lower
๐Ÿ”น On-chain activity โ€“ declining gas usage or demand may indicate lower network utility and bearish pressure
๐Ÿ”น Weekly overbought condition โ€“ many technical indicators (RSI, MACD) point to overextension

Penafian

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