EURUSD snaps three-day losing streak but remains vulnerable

EURUSD stays defensive around 1.0820 as it rebounds from the 50% Fibonacci ratio of the October-December 2023 upside. In doing so, the Euro pair prints the first daily gain in four while approaching the 200-SMA resistance surrounding 1.0830. Not only the 200-SMA but the 50-SMA level of around 1.0870 also challenges the pair buyers. Following that, the lat January swing high of around 1.0930 and the 1.1000 threshold will be the final defenses of the bears before welcoming the bulls.

On the contrary, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci ratios around 1.0795 and 1.0710 respectively act as the strong downside support levels for the EURUSD. Also acting as the downside filter is the monthly low of around 1.0695, a break of which will divert the Euro sellers toward the October 2023 swing low of around 1.0450. That said, bullish MACD signals and the upbeat RSI conditions also challenge the quote’s further downside past the Golden Fibonacci Ratio, namely the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio.

Overall, the EURUSD bears appear taking the rest but are still in the game even if the quote’s downside past 61.8% Fibonacci ratio needs a strong reason to lure the sellers. As a result, today’s Eurozone inflation numbers and PMI data will be important to watch for clear directions.
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