Panjang
A Hard Brexit Is Likely Not To Occur Even Theresa May Telling It

Quote: Prime Minister Theresa May formally began Britain's divorce from the European Union on Wednesday, declaring there was no turning back and ushering in a tortuous exit process that will test the bloc's cohesion and pitch her country into the un-known.
In one of the most significant steps by a British leader since World War Two, May notified EU Council President Donald Tusk in a hand-delivered letter that Britain would quit the club it joined in 1973.
"The United Kingdom is leaving the European Union," May told parliament nine months after Britain shocked investors and world leaders by unexpectedly voting to quit the bloc. "This is an historic moment from which there can be no turning back."
Source: investing.com/news/economy-news/british-pm-may-to-fire-starting-gun-on-brexit-469357
In one of the most significant steps by a British leader since World War Two, May notified EU Council President Donald Tusk in a hand-delivered letter that Britain would quit the club it joined in 1973.
"The United Kingdom is leaving the European Union," May told parliament nine months after Britain shocked investors and world leaders by unexpectedly voting to quit the bloc. "This is an historic moment from which there can be no turning back."
Source: investing.com/news/economy-news/british-pm-may-to-fire-starting-gun-on-brexit-469357
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MAR 30 2017: EU Parliament will block Brexit deal if citizens' rights are not guaranteedSource: cnbc.com/2017/03/30/eu-parliament-will-block-brexit-deal-if-citizens-rights-not-agreed.html
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MAR 31 2017: Quote BERLIN (Reuters) - German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble told a German newspaper the European Union should take a tough stance in negotiations with Britain over its exit from the bloc after more than 40 years of membership.investing.com/news/economy-news/germany's-schaeuble-says-eu-to-take-tough-stance-in-brexit-talks-470175
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APR 01 2017: For Stockmarket Traders the Brexit is linked with "the rise of populism" in Europe. In most traders logic the Brexit should had cause a victory of Dutch far right party PVV (Gert Wilders) and should cause a victory of Marine LePen. This did not happened because voters in Europe turning away from populism, wich finally caused without any doubt the Brexit. Two votes had been won by populists: The Brexit and the U.S. Election. Now lets have a look, how the latest approval rates are for Donald Trump:
MAR 30 2017: Majority of Americans think Trump's doing a poor job and the country is headed in the wrong direction: Poll
Source: cnbc.com/2017/03/30/poll-trumps-approval-rating-is-falling.html
Trump's approval rating slips to another new low, much lower than resent presidents at this point in their terms
Source: cnbc.com/2017/03/29/trumps-approval-rating-slips-to-another-new-low-much-lower-than-recent-presidents-at-this-point-in-their-terms.html
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APR 03 2017: EU relieved but wary after Trump endorses it as 'wonderful'reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-eu-idUSKBN1631PM
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APR 03 2017 Donald Trump says he is ‘totally in favour’ of ‘wonderful’ EUindependent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/donald-trump-european-union-eu-us-president-totally-in-favour-wonderful-steve-bannon-mike-pence-a7596731.html
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APR 03 2017: German manufacturing growth reached an reached an almost six-year high in March, Markit's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing showed on Monday. Manufacturing activity in France and Italy also rose, adding to signs of a pickup in momentum in the global economy. Source: investing.com/news/stock-market-news/stocks-start-second-quarter-on-firm-note,-u.s.-policy-in-focus-as-trump-xi-talks-loom-470565
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APR 05 2017 Euro zone businesses started 2017 on a six-year high: PMIinvesting.com/news/economic-indicators/euro-zone-businesses-started-2017-on-a-six-year-high:-pmi-471528
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Comment: APR 05 2017 - Quote: In reversal, Bannon removed from National Security Council(CNN)Steve Bannon, President Donald Trump's chief strategist, has been removed from his permanent seat at the National Security Council, multiple sources tell CNN, moving the council into a more traditional format.
The decision, which one source with knowledge said was made by Trump himself, comes after the President in January authorized the reorganization of the National Security Council to include Bannon as a permanent member of the panel. Source: edition.cnn.com/2017/04/05/politics/steve-bannon-white-house-national-security-council/index.html
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APR 08 2017: Populist Johnson stays away from Populist PutinQuote: UK's Johnson cancels Moscow visit after Syria gas attack
investing.com/news/world-news/uk's-johnson-cancels-moscow-visit-after-syria-gas-attack-472727
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APR 09 2017 No 'disastrous economic failure' for Britain after Brexit, says Italy's deputy finance chiefcnbc.com/2017/04/09/no-disastrous-economic-failure-for-britain-after-brexit-says-italys-deputy-finance-chief.html
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APR 10 2017 - UK consumer spending grows at slowest rate in three years: Visainvesting.com/news/economic-indicators/uk-consumer-spending-grows-at-slowest-rate-in-three-years:-visa-472850
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APR 10 2017 - Opinion: Trump, May show surprising tilt toward pragmatismQuote: Instead of acrimony and tantrums, we got cooperation and compromise
... However, in the past few days, the U.S. and British leaders have shown they are perfectly capable of reasonable policies designed around compromise rather than confrontation. ...
... The president carried out what appears to have been another valuable service by removing his top aide Steve Bannon from the White House National Security Council, where the former head of right-wing website Breitbart News had seemed out of place. ...
.... In a retreat from “no-holds-barred” Brexit orthodoxy, Britain has said it would abide by some rules — including free movement of citizens — during a transition in which new regulations are being phased in. On a visit to Saudi Arabia last week, May attuned her EU dictum to Realpolitik principles, accepting that no full trade deal can be concluded until after the U.K. leaves and conceding that immigration from the EU could continue until after the next British election in 2020. ...
Source: marketwatch.com/story/trump-may-show-surprising-tilt-toward-pragmatism-2017-04-10?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
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APR 18 2017 Europe's 'fear gauge' is rising ahead of first presidential vote in France this weekendcnbc.com/2017/04/18/frances-borrowing-costs-are-under-pressure-as-political-uncertainty-rises-ahead-of-first-presidential-vote.html
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APR 18 2017 - British PM May calls for early election to strengthen Brexit handinvesting.com/news/economy-news/british-pm-may-calls-for-early-election-to-strengthen-brexit-hand-474893
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APR 23 2017: For German Readers (english as soon as available)Angela Merkel musste Trump Berichten zufolge 11-mal die Prinzipien der EU erklären
businessinsider.de/angela-merkel-musste-trump-berichten-zufolge-11-mal-die-prinzipien-der-eu-erklaeren-2017-4
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APR 24 2017 Germany's Merkel encouraged U.S. will consider EU free trade dealinvesting.com/news/economic-indicators/germany's-merkel-encouraged-u.s.-will-consider-eu-free-trade-deal-476536
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EU calls Theresa’s May’s Brexit stance “completely unreal”ft.com/content/40e3cb30-2cd4-11e7-9555-23ef563ecf9a
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Art of the deal: Angela Merkel had to repeatedly tutor Donald Trump about the European UnionTrump doesn't understand much about multinational trade agreements VIDEO
salon.com/2017/04/24/art-of-the-deal-angela-merkel-had-to-repeatedly-tutor-donald-trump-in-the-european-union/
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German manufacturing growth near six-year high in April: PMI m.investing.com/news/economic-indicators/german-manufacturing-growth-near-six-year-high-in-april:-pmi-479204Nota
The British election is in 3 days — and the polls are getting a lot closervox.com/world/2017/6/5/15739222/uk-election-jeremy-corbyn-labour-surge
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Time to focus now ob Brexit Talks:EU says Brexit talks could fail after Johnson's 'go whistle' remarks
theguardian.com/politics/2017/jul/12/eu-warns-brexit-talks-could-fail-after-johnsons-go-whistle-remarks
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Brexit: Jeremy Corbyn to tell EU's chief negotiator he is ready to lead talks if UK government changes‘A Labour Brexit would look very different to the race-to-the-bottom tax haven backed by this Conservative Government’
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-corbyn-eu-talks-negotiations-labour-leader-ready-michel-barnier-a7838441.html
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FUNDAMENTAL VIEW: HARD BREXIT vs. Reality.
Conservative MPs in talks with Labour about signing UK up to Norway-style deal
telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/07/13/conservative-mps-talks-labour-signing-uk-free-movement-brexit/
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Time running out to prevent banks' Brexit exodus: City of London bossinvesting.com/news/economy-news/time-running-out-to-prevent-banks'-brexit-exodus:-city-of-london-boss-506292
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UK-EU freedom of movement to end in ‘spring of 2019’ after Brexit, minister saysFree movement of people between the U.K. and the European Union will come to an end in March 2019 after the completion of Brexit, a U.K. minister has said
cnbc.com/2017/07/27/brexit-uk-eu-freedom-of-movement-to-end-in-spring-2019-minister-says.html
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FUNDAMENTAL VIEW: BREXIT, THERESA MAY IS LOOSING SUPPORT FOR HARD BREXIT.
British election failure shakes confidence in May's Brexit strategy: ORB poll
investing.com/news/world-news/poll-shows-61-percent-of-british-voters-disapprove-of-mays-handling-of-brexit-talks-515173
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BREXIT TALKS MIGHT FAILm.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/a-1167282.html
English related story
Brexit talks will FAIL: EU making plans for NO DEAL because of ‘British loss of reality’
express.co.uk/news/world/853475/Brexit-talks-EU-plans-no-deal-British-loss-reality-German-media-David-Davis-Angela-Merkel
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Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.