Paun British / Yen Jepun
Singkat

GBPJPY may enter into a bearish phase

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GBPJPY may enter into a bearish phase

The data indicates a weakening outlook for GBP as traders shift towards a bearish sentiment, supported by weaker economic indicators and a lack of strong momentum in exogenous factors like GDP and interest rate differentials. Conversely, JPY is showing strength, driven by its safe-haven appeal and positive speculative positioning, as reflected in the COT data. While seasonal trends suggest potential GBP bullishness in early December, the overall bias favors JPY strength, leading to a bearish outlook for the GBP/JPY pair in the near term. Key focus areas for traders should include monitoring UK economic releases (GDP, CPI) and BOJ policy signals, with a preference for shorting GBP/JPY unless there’s a significant shift in GBP fundamentals.

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