Weekly Analysis Report: May 19 – 23, 2025
Prepared by: Economic Expert Mohammed Qais Abdulghani
Introduction
Amid escalating global economic challenges and growing geopolitical risks, the need for a comprehensive and scientific understanding of market dynamics becomes increasingly critical.
In this weekly report, we present a holistic analytical outlook covering the major currency pairs, global commodities, indices, and cryptocurrencies — with gold taking center stage. We also highlight several educational technical setups based on precise data.
1. Key Economic Events This Week
The markets await a series of crucial economic indicators that may directly influence price action, including:
• Monday: Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI)
• Tuesday: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision, Canada CPI
• Wednesday: UK CPI and US Crude Oil Inventories
• Thursday: US Jobless Claims, PMI figures, Existing Home Sales
• Friday: Germany’s GDP and US New Home Sales
2. Technical Analysis – Major Currency Pairs
• US Dollar Index (DXY): Remains under pressure below 102, with further declines toward 99, 96, and 94 possible.
• EUR/USD: Maintains bullish momentum above 1.1100, aiming for 1.1400 and potentially 1.2000.
• GBP/USD: Needs to break 1.3400 to resume an uptrend; otherwise, a drop toward 1.3100 is possible.
• USD/JPY: Faces strong resistance at 148.00; selling pressure remains dominant below this level.
• USD/CHF: Trading below 0.8400 supports potential declines to 0.8500 and 0.8700.
• AUD/USD: Under pressure below 0.6500, with targets at 0.6300 and 0.6000.
• NZD/USD: Approaching key support at 0.5800; a break below may lead to 0.5600 and 0.5400.
• USD/CAD: May regain positive momentum if it breaks above 1.4000, with further potential toward 1.4200 and 1.4400.
• GBP/JPY: Lacks momentum below 194.00, suggesting further declines to 190.00 and 186.00.
• EUR/JPY: Trading below 163.00; continued pressure may drive it toward 160.00 and 157.00.
• EUR/GBP: Facing downward pressure below 0.8500; a break of 0.8350 could push it to 0.8200.
• USD/TRY: Holding firm above 39.00, maintaining bullish potential toward 39.5 and 40.0.
3. Cryptocurrencies
• Bitcoin (BTC): Still below the key resistance of $106,000. A breakout may trigger a rally to $112,500, while failure to break higher risks corrections to $97,500 and $84,000.
• Ethereum (ETH): Facing bearish pressure after failing to break $2,700, with potential downside targets at $2,200, $1,800, and $1,400.
• Ripple (XRP): Weak below $2.40, with a bearish path toward $2.00, $1.60, and possibly $1.20.
4. Gold & Metals
• Gold (XAUUSD): Trading within a key technical range. A breakout above $3,260 may resume the bullish trend toward $3,400, $3,500, and $3,600. Conversely, staying below $3,100 could trigger a deeper correction.
• Silver (XAGUSD): Holding firm above $32.00, which is a launchpad for $34.00 and $36.00. A drop below could send prices back to $30.50 and $29.00.
5. Energy Markets
• Crude Oil (USOIL): Testing major resistance around $62.00. A breakout could lead to $66.00 and $70.00. Failure to do so might cause a retreat to $58.00.
• Natural Gas: Key support at $3.20. A breakdown may accelerate losses toward $2.50 and $2.00.
6. Global Indices
• Dow Jones (US30): Holding bullish momentum above 41,500, targeting 44,000 and 46,000.
• S&P 500: Stable above 5,900; continued momentum may lift it toward 6,300.
• Nasdaq: Stable above 21,200, enhancing the probability of a move to 22,800.
• Russell 2000: Approaching resistance at 2,120; a break may lead to 2,250 and 2,300.
• FTSE 100 (UK): Trading positively above 8,450, with targets at 8,750 and 9,100.
• DAX (Germany): Stable above 23,000, with upside targets at 24,100 and 25,600.
• CAC 40 (France): Maintaining upward momentum above 7,800.
• Nikkei (Japan): Consolidating above 37,000, targeting 39,000 and 41,000.
7. Weekly Trade Opportunities (Educational Analysis)
EUR/USD – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Buy
• Entry Price: 1.11600
• Target 1: 1.12500
• Target 2: 1.14000
• Stop Loss: 1.10900
• Technical Insight: Price is trending above the ascending support with a clear rebound at 1.11000, supporting further upside.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Buy
• Entry Price: 3200
• Target 1: 3260
• Target 2: 3400
• Stop Loss: 3100
• Technical Insight: Gold rebounded from strong support at 3100 within an ascending channel, supporting bullish momentum.
Crude Oil (USOIL) – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Pending Buy
• Entry Price: 62.30
• Target 1: 66.00
• Target 2: 70.00
• Stop Loss: 60.00
• Technical Insight: Oil is testing horizontal resistance; a breakout may trigger a swift bullish wave.
Dow Jones (US30) – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Buy
• Entry Price: 42435
• Target 1: 43500
• Target 2: 44000
• Stop Loss: 41500
• Technical Insight: The index remains in a bullish trend, trading above moving averages and reinforcing upward bias.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Buy
• Entry Price: 104000
• Target 1: 106600
• Target 2: 112500
• Stop Loss: 100000
• Technical Insight: Bitcoin is holding above strong support at 103000, increasing the likelihood of upward continuation.
Conclusion
We invite all readers to engage with this report by sharing your thoughts, technical insights, and development suggestions in the comments section.
To enrich this professional dialogue, we pose this week’s interactive question:
Do you believe gold will break the $3,260 level this week? Or will the corrective scenario prevail?
Your participation adds value to the discussion and helps enhance the quality of content for all market enthusiasts.
Prepared by: Economic Expert Mohammed Qais Abdulghani
Prepared by: Economic Expert Mohammed Qais Abdulghani
Introduction
Amid escalating global economic challenges and growing geopolitical risks, the need for a comprehensive and scientific understanding of market dynamics becomes increasingly critical.
In this weekly report, we present a holistic analytical outlook covering the major currency pairs, global commodities, indices, and cryptocurrencies — with gold taking center stage. We also highlight several educational technical setups based on precise data.
1. Key Economic Events This Week
The markets await a series of crucial economic indicators that may directly influence price action, including:
• Monday: Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI)
• Tuesday: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision, Canada CPI
• Wednesday: UK CPI and US Crude Oil Inventories
• Thursday: US Jobless Claims, PMI figures, Existing Home Sales
• Friday: Germany’s GDP and US New Home Sales
2. Technical Analysis – Major Currency Pairs
• US Dollar Index (DXY): Remains under pressure below 102, with further declines toward 99, 96, and 94 possible.
• EUR/USD: Maintains bullish momentum above 1.1100, aiming for 1.1400 and potentially 1.2000.
• GBP/USD: Needs to break 1.3400 to resume an uptrend; otherwise, a drop toward 1.3100 is possible.
• USD/JPY: Faces strong resistance at 148.00; selling pressure remains dominant below this level.
• USD/CHF: Trading below 0.8400 supports potential declines to 0.8500 and 0.8700.
• AUD/USD: Under pressure below 0.6500, with targets at 0.6300 and 0.6000.
• NZD/USD: Approaching key support at 0.5800; a break below may lead to 0.5600 and 0.5400.
• USD/CAD: May regain positive momentum if it breaks above 1.4000, with further potential toward 1.4200 and 1.4400.
• GBP/JPY: Lacks momentum below 194.00, suggesting further declines to 190.00 and 186.00.
• EUR/JPY: Trading below 163.00; continued pressure may drive it toward 160.00 and 157.00.
• EUR/GBP: Facing downward pressure below 0.8500; a break of 0.8350 could push it to 0.8200.
• USD/TRY: Holding firm above 39.00, maintaining bullish potential toward 39.5 and 40.0.
3. Cryptocurrencies
• Bitcoin (BTC): Still below the key resistance of $106,000. A breakout may trigger a rally to $112,500, while failure to break higher risks corrections to $97,500 and $84,000.
• Ethereum (ETH): Facing bearish pressure after failing to break $2,700, with potential downside targets at $2,200, $1,800, and $1,400.
• Ripple (XRP): Weak below $2.40, with a bearish path toward $2.00, $1.60, and possibly $1.20.
4. Gold & Metals
• Gold (XAUUSD): Trading within a key technical range. A breakout above $3,260 may resume the bullish trend toward $3,400, $3,500, and $3,600. Conversely, staying below $3,100 could trigger a deeper correction.
• Silver (XAGUSD): Holding firm above $32.00, which is a launchpad for $34.00 and $36.00. A drop below could send prices back to $30.50 and $29.00.
5. Energy Markets
• Crude Oil (USOIL): Testing major resistance around $62.00. A breakout could lead to $66.00 and $70.00. Failure to do so might cause a retreat to $58.00.
• Natural Gas: Key support at $3.20. A breakdown may accelerate losses toward $2.50 and $2.00.
6. Global Indices
• Dow Jones (US30): Holding bullish momentum above 41,500, targeting 44,000 and 46,000.
• S&P 500: Stable above 5,900; continued momentum may lift it toward 6,300.
• Nasdaq: Stable above 21,200, enhancing the probability of a move to 22,800.
• Russell 2000: Approaching resistance at 2,120; a break may lead to 2,250 and 2,300.
• FTSE 100 (UK): Trading positively above 8,450, with targets at 8,750 and 9,100.
• DAX (Germany): Stable above 23,000, with upside targets at 24,100 and 25,600.
• CAC 40 (France): Maintaining upward momentum above 7,800.
• Nikkei (Japan): Consolidating above 37,000, targeting 39,000 and 41,000.
7. Weekly Trade Opportunities (Educational Analysis)
EUR/USD – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Buy
• Entry Price: 1.11600
• Target 1: 1.12500
• Target 2: 1.14000
• Stop Loss: 1.10900
• Technical Insight: Price is trending above the ascending support with a clear rebound at 1.11000, supporting further upside.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Buy
• Entry Price: 3200
• Target 1: 3260
• Target 2: 3400
• Stop Loss: 3100
• Technical Insight: Gold rebounded from strong support at 3100 within an ascending channel, supporting bullish momentum.
Crude Oil (USOIL) – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Pending Buy
• Entry Price: 62.30
• Target 1: 66.00
• Target 2: 70.00
• Stop Loss: 60.00
• Technical Insight: Oil is testing horizontal resistance; a breakout may trigger a swift bullish wave.
Dow Jones (US30) – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Buy
• Entry Price: 42435
• Target 1: 43500
• Target 2: 44000
• Stop Loss: 41500
• Technical Insight: The index remains in a bullish trend, trading above moving averages and reinforcing upward bias.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – 4H Chart
• Trade Type: Buy
• Entry Price: 104000
• Target 1: 106600
• Target 2: 112500
• Stop Loss: 100000
• Technical Insight: Bitcoin is holding above strong support at 103000, increasing the likelihood of upward continuation.
Conclusion
We invite all readers to engage with this report by sharing your thoughts, technical insights, and development suggestions in the comments section.
To enrich this professional dialogue, we pose this week’s interactive question:
Do you believe gold will break the $3,260 level this week? Or will the corrective scenario prevail?
Your participation adds value to the discussion and helps enhance the quality of content for all market enthusiasts.
Prepared by: Economic Expert Mohammed Qais Abdulghani
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قناتي على التلجرام :
t.me/msqaisfx91
تابعني من خلال الرابط التالي :
msqaisfx.com/about-us
t.me/msqaisfx91
تابعني من خلال الرابط التالي :
msqaisfx.com/about-us
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.