________________________________________________________________________________๐ HDFCAMC โ Bullish Momentum with Short Covering Base
๐ Setup Date: 18.07.2025 | โฑ Timeframe: Daily
๐ Strategy: Momentum Trade Setup with Defined Risk
________________________________________________________________________________
๐ Overall View
Spot Price: โน5590
Trend: Bullish Bias โ Price sustaining above 5500 with momentum
Volatility: IV ~26โ29%, relatively stable with mild contraction
Ideal Strategy Mix: Directional long with partial risk spreads
________________________________________________________________________________
1๏ธโฃ Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE:โBuy 5700 CE @ โน60.75
Why:
โข Long Build-Up (+11.91% OI) with price โ6.49% = bullish conviction
โข Strike just โน110 above spot โ good balance of delta (0.41) and premium
โข High TTV (โน89.9 Cr) and stable IV (~26.6%) โ institutional activity
โข CE 5600 also active, but 5700 is cleaner structure due to fresh longs
________________________________________________________________________________
2๏ธโฃ Bearish Trade (Contrarian Trade โ if present)
Best PE:โSell 5500 PE @ โน59.5
Why:
โข Short Build-Up on 5500 PE (+118.7% OI), but price โ45.84% โ strong put writing
โข Spot comfortably above strike (โน5590), adding margin of safety
โข IV stable โ theta decay benefits seller
โข Acts as support-level hold strategy in case of mild retracement
________________________________________________________________________________
3๏ธโฃ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy:โBull Call Spread โ Buy 5700 CE / Sell 5800 CE
โโโโโโโ โน60.75 / โน34.15
โโโโโNet Debit: โน26.60
โโโโโMax Profit: โน100 (spread width) โ โน26.60 = โน73.40
โโโโโMax Loss: โน26.60
โโโโโRisk:Reward โ 1 : 2.75 โ
โโโโโLot Size: 150
โโโโโTotal Risk: โน3,990
โโโโโMax Profit: โน11,010
๐ Breakeven Point: โน5726.60
๐ Reversal Exit Level: Exit if Spot < โน5550 (invalidates breakout + weakens CE 5700)
________________________________________________________________________________
Why:
โข Strong Long Build-Up at 5700 CE, resistance only mild at 5800
โข High IVs make selling 5800 CE favourable โ lowers net debit
โข Defined risk with RR โ 1:2.75 fits your trade rule
โข Market supports bullish continuation over 5600-5650 levels
________________________________________________________________________________
๐ My Trading Setup Rules
Avoid Gap Plays
โ Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs.
Breakout Entry Only
โ Enter trades only if price breaks previous dayโs High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades).
Watch Volume for Confirmation
โ Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade.
Enter on Strong Candle + Volume
โ Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade.
Defined Risk:Reward Only
โ Take trades only if R:R is favourable (ideally โฅ 1:2)(safe = 1:1).
Premium Disclaimer
โ Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices โ real-time premiums may vary during execution.
Time Frame Preference
โ Trade with your preferred time frame โ this strategy works across intraday or positional setups.
________________________________________________________________________________
โ Disclaimer (Please Read):
โข These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
โข I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
โข The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
โข No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
โข Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
โข Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________________________________________________
๐ Setup Date: 18.07.2025 | โฑ Timeframe: Daily
๐ Strategy: Momentum Trade Setup with Defined Risk
________________________________________________________________________________
๐ Overall View
Spot Price: โน5590
Trend: Bullish Bias โ Price sustaining above 5500 with momentum
Volatility: IV ~26โ29%, relatively stable with mild contraction
Ideal Strategy Mix: Directional long with partial risk spreads
________________________________________________________________________________
1๏ธโฃ Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE:โBuy 5700 CE @ โน60.75
Why:
โข Long Build-Up (+11.91% OI) with price โ6.49% = bullish conviction
โข Strike just โน110 above spot โ good balance of delta (0.41) and premium
โข High TTV (โน89.9 Cr) and stable IV (~26.6%) โ institutional activity
โข CE 5600 also active, but 5700 is cleaner structure due to fresh longs
________________________________________________________________________________
2๏ธโฃ Bearish Trade (Contrarian Trade โ if present)
Best PE:โSell 5500 PE @ โน59.5
Why:
โข Short Build-Up on 5500 PE (+118.7% OI), but price โ45.84% โ strong put writing
โข Spot comfortably above strike (โน5590), adding margin of safety
โข IV stable โ theta decay benefits seller
โข Acts as support-level hold strategy in case of mild retracement
________________________________________________________________________________
3๏ธโฃ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy:โBull Call Spread โ Buy 5700 CE / Sell 5800 CE
โโโโโโโ โน60.75 / โน34.15
โโโโโNet Debit: โน26.60
โโโโโMax Profit: โน100 (spread width) โ โน26.60 = โน73.40
โโโโโMax Loss: โน26.60
โโโโโRisk:Reward โ 1 : 2.75 โ
โโโโโLot Size: 150
โโโโโTotal Risk: โน3,990
โโโโโMax Profit: โน11,010
๐ Breakeven Point: โน5726.60
๐ Reversal Exit Level: Exit if Spot < โน5550 (invalidates breakout + weakens CE 5700)
________________________________________________________________________________
Why:
โข Strong Long Build-Up at 5700 CE, resistance only mild at 5800
โข High IVs make selling 5800 CE favourable โ lowers net debit
โข Defined risk with RR โ 1:2.75 fits your trade rule
โข Market supports bullish continuation over 5600-5650 levels
________________________________________________________________________________
๐ My Trading Setup Rules
Avoid Gap Plays
โ Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs.
Breakout Entry Only
โ Enter trades only if price breaks previous dayโs High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades).
Watch Volume for Confirmation
โ Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade.
Enter on Strong Candle + Volume
โ Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade.
Defined Risk:Reward Only
โ Take trades only if R:R is favourable (ideally โฅ 1:2)(safe = 1:1).
Premium Disclaimer
โ Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices โ real-time premiums may vary during execution.
Time Frame Preference
โ Trade with your preferred time frame โ this strategy works across intraday or positional setups.
________________________________________________________________________________
โ Disclaimer (Please Read):
โข These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
โข I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
โข The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
โข No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
โข Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
โข Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________________________________________________
๐ STWP | Mentor | Demand & Supply Specialist
๐ฏ Helping you become a self-reliant & independent trader
๐ Learn more: simpletradewithpatience.com
๐ฒ WhatsApp: wa.me/919987567889
๐ Trade with Clarity. Learn with Patience.
๐ฏ Helping you become a self-reliant & independent trader
๐ Learn more: simpletradewithpatience.com
๐ฒ WhatsApp: wa.me/919987567889
๐ Trade with Clarity. Learn with Patience.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
๐ STWP | Mentor | Demand & Supply Specialist
๐ฏ Helping you become a self-reliant & independent trader
๐ Learn more: simpletradewithpatience.com
๐ฒ WhatsApp: wa.me/919987567889
๐ Trade with Clarity. Learn with Patience.
๐ฏ Helping you become a self-reliant & independent trader
๐ Learn more: simpletradewithpatience.com
๐ฒ WhatsApp: wa.me/919987567889
๐ Trade with Clarity. Learn with Patience.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.