IDFC FIRST BANK Buy, Hold, Sell Report

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IDFC First Bank is in a solid uptrend with fundamental strength, but price is close to short-term analyst targets. Hold for long term, Buy on dips, book profits near ₹80–90-112 if trader, but don’t exit completely as future upside is possible if recent growth momentum sustains.

Recent Updates & Financials

*Q2 FY26 profit surged 75.5% YoY to ₹352 crore, fueled by strong business expansion and declining cost of funds.
*Loans/Advances: Up 19.7% YoY to ₹2,66,579 crore.
*Deposits: Up 23.4% YoY to ₹2,69,094 crore, driven by CASA (Current Account–Savings Account) ratio improvement to 50.07%.
*Gross NPA: Stable at 1.86%; Net NPA: 0.52% (Very healthy asset quality)
*Cost of Funds: Dropped by 23 bps YoY; further reduction expected.
*Operating Leverage: Improving, business outpacing operating cost growth.
*Stock Price (Oct 20, 2025): Around ₹72

Recent Analyst View
TradingView Consensus: Most analysts rate “Strong Buy”, 1-year target ₹76.7 (max: ₹112, min: ₹54). Some targets for 2026 as high as ₹280—but consensus for 2025 is ₹76–90.

Valuation
P/E: ~40.7 (TTM) — Higher than sector average; reflects growth optimism.
P/B: 1.54 — Reasonable for growth banks; not expensive.
Intrinsic Value: Stock trades at a discount (-60%) vs. median estimates.​
ROE: 3.6–7.8% (Still below top private banks, but improving trajectory).

Buy/Hold/Sell Recommendation
Buy
Reasons to buy: Rapid profit & revenue growth, improving asset quality, strong CASA, operating leverage, sectoral outperformance.​
Ideal for: Growth-focused investors, long-term holders betting on volume/market share expansion.

Hold
Reasons to hold: Trading near short-term analyst targets, but longer-term upside exists if growth sustains; current fundamentals solid.

Ideal for: Investors already holding or unable to average down.

Partial Sell/Profit Booking
Reasons to sell: Stock is near consensus short-term targets (₹76–90), profit booking recommended for swing traders or those seeking rotation after recent +3% rally and multi-quarter gains.​

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