Juggernaut to ATH PT : $750-850

20 Mei

- Absolute juggernaut of a company. Top tier management and solid execution lately deserves premium valuation.

- INTU is moving up market i.e targeting on mid markets as compared to just focussing on SMBs ( Small & Medium Sized Businesses )

- Company has a MOAT all those FUD regarding simplification of tax laws/rules was overblown.

- Company should do well irrespective of the MACRO. Even, if US enters recession, People gotta file taxes and do accounting. Some segments will show weakness in case of recession like Mailchimp and Credit Karma. But TurboTax and Quickbooks are all weather products.

- Final take: INTU should break to all time highs if the upcoming quarter impresses.
- PT: 750-850

20 Mei

Nota

Fundamentally,

YEAR | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 19.37 | 22.17 | 25.22 | 28.64
EPS % | 15.21% | 14.42% | 13.75% | 13.56%

For company growing EPS mid teens deserves a forward multiple of 20/25 as the base case.

However, if a company has a moat then it should command at least forward p/e of 30.

Base Case Stock Price (Forward p/e = 30) :
YEAR. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 19.37 | 22.17 | 25.22 | 28.64
Stock price | $581 | $665 | $756 | $859

Conservative Base Case Stock Price (Forward p/e = 25) :
YEAR. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 19.37 | 22.17 | 25.22 | 28.64
Stock price | $484 | $554 | $630 | $716

20 Mei

Nota

However, INTU has a history of meeting or beating expectations and raising EPS. Therefore, I lean on bull case for INTU and will give it a premium by forward p/e of 35

Conservative Bull Case Stock Price (Forward p/e = 35) :
YEAR. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 19.37 | 22.17 | 25.22 | 28.64
Stock price | $677| $775 | $882 | $1002

20 Mei

Nota

- We are likely entering the start of impulsive phase as seen on the monthly chart for $INTU.
- INTU made all time highs in 2021 then it had a correction, then consolidation which allowed it to grow into its earnings.
- Now, INTU is ready for the impulsive move higher!
- What a beautiful monthly chart, multi-bagger stock with solid compounder over years.

22 Mei

Nota

- Solid quarter, INTU delivered. Stock is up ~ 7% after hours as an initial reaction and trading at ~$713

27 Mei

Nota

- Intuit closed above $750 today! Let's go get that $800

28 Mei

Nota

INTU is focussing on moving to mid markets that's great. Historically, they have focussed on Small Businesses. Moving up the food chain and targeting mid market should continue to fuel their growth.

26 Jun

Nota

- Making a bull flag 🚩
- Let's see if breakout continues $770+

30 Jun

Nota

INTU break out in process. Let's see if it can reach $850-900 range

kelmarin

Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai

closed @783