JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
Panjang

JAKK - expecting rally on earnings release

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JAKK has very decent fundamentals. The whole industry seems to be doing okay, leaving JAKK lagging behind.

If we look at all earnings releases in the past 3 years, they work the same way:
1) if there's a strong prior move up, the stock crashes on earnings release (even if it beats expectations 6-20%)
2) If there's a strong prior move down, the stock rallies on earnings release (again, almost regardless of hit/miss on estimates)

The Q2 earnings release had a scenario very similar to what's happening right before Monday's Q3 release - long rally up, sharp retracement, then flat and big rally on earnings release. As you can see in the chart, it's in the same setup and if they print a decent number, we should be going up.

Penafian

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