NIFTY 50 - ICT & SMC Analysis (April 3, 2025)

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1. Market Structure & Trend Overview
1D Chart (Higher Timeframe Bias)
Bearish Market Structure: The market has been in a downtrend, breaking market structure (MSS) at key levels. The recent rally from March was a retracement into a premium zone.

Key Resistance Areas:

Order Block (OB) at ~23,600: Market is rejecting this supply zone.

Previous Daily High (PDH) & Premium Liquidity Zone: Price recently swept liquidity above PDH and is rejecting.

Key Support Areas:

Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 22,800-22,900: This is the next area where price may drop to seek liquidity.

PDL (Previous Daily Low): A liquidity pool where price may react.

📌 Prediction:

If price stays below 23,600, the market may seek liquidity at 23,000 or even 22,800.

If price reclaims 23,600, a move towards 24,000 is possible.

4H Chart (Mid-Timeframe Confirmation)
Bearish Market Structure: Price is forming lower highs and recently had a Change of Character (ChoCH) to the downside.

Key Levels to Watch:

23,600 OB & FVG: Market is rejecting this area.

23,200-23,250 (Liquidity Area): Price is building liquidity below.

22,900 (FVG & Key Support): If price breaks down, this will be a magnet.

Strong Resistance at 23,600: If price gets here, it could be a sell opportunity.

📌 Prediction:

A potential short trade if price retraces back to 23,500-23,600 (OB) with targets at 23,200 & 22,900.

If 23,200 holds, a bounce to 23,500 is possible.

1H Chart (Execution Level)
Price Action Observations:

Liquidity Sweep at PDH: Market took out buy-side liquidity and is now retracing.

FVG Below 23,200: This is a draw on liquidity.

PWL (Previous Week’s Low) at 23,150-23,200: This could act as support before further downside.

📌 Trade Idea (Bearish Setup)

Entry: Sell near 23,500-23,600 (OB & FVG Zone).

Stop Loss: Above 23,650 (Above liquidity zone).

Take Profit Targets:

TP1: 23,200 (First liquidity pool).

TP2: 22,900 (FVG fill & support area).

🔹 Alternative Bullish Scenario: If price does not break 23,200 and forms bullish structure, a long towards 23,600 can be considered.

Penafian

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