Nifty Analysis EOD – 21st April 2025

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🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – 21st April 2025 🔴

After the surprise expiry rally… comes the slowdown!

📌 Background

After the stunning 414-point move on the weekly expiry day, Friday’s holiday break created the perfect breather. The key question heading into Monday was:

“Will Nifty carry forward its momentum and breach 24,050? Or pause for breath?”

Turns out, the market chose both – initial enthusiasm, followed by exhaustion and consolidation.

📌 Today’s Price Action

Nifty opened at 23,949, right at the resistance zone of 23,950 ~ 24,000.

➤ The IB High was formed at 24,052, triggering a textbook IB Breakout just above the 200 SMA zone.➤ Price moved swiftly towards 24,188 – the Previous Highest Swing Close, and then... paused.

From there, a 50-minute tight consolidation followed – one of the narrowest ranges seen in recent sessions, signaling a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers.

Despite the bullish open and early breakout, Nifty closed at 24,133, just below the major resistance.

📊 Gladiator Strategy Parameters

ATR: 383.83

IB Range: 134.20

IB Type: Medium IB

IB Day: IB Breakout

Market Structure: Imbalanced

As per the Nifty Gladiator Strategy, the IB Breakout triggered around 10:45 AM, and the 1x IB target was achieved with clean follow-through.

📌 Technical Observations

📈 On the Daily Timeframe:

RSI stands at 65.53, now forming a potential RSI divergence.

Short RSI (3 of 3) is in the overbought zone.

Momentum remains intact, but the range is cooling off, cautioning intraday traders of potential traps ahead.

👉 A narrow range session or a false IB breakout is likely in the coming session.

📈 Index Performance

Nifty: +274 Points (+1.15%)

Bank Nifty: New All-Time High at 55,461, closing at 55,295 (+1.87% / +1,014 points)

Nifty 500: +324 Points (+1.5%)

Midcap: +1,316 Points (+2.5%)

Smallcap: +363 Points (+2.2%)

Broader market sentiment remained strong and outperformed Nifty.

📌 Important Levels to Watch

🔼 Resistance Zones

➤ 24,190 ~ 24,225➤ 24,330 ~ 24,360➤ 24,480 ~ 24,540

🔽 Support Zones

➤ 23,950 ~ 24,000 (now immediate support)➤ 23,820➤ 23,660 ~ 23,710➤ 23,500➤ 23,400 ~ 23,430➤ 23,200 ~ 23,190

🧠 What’s the Trade Setup Now?

Don’t be overly bullish at highs – wait for follow-through or failed breakout confirmation.

If price holds above 24,190, then 24,330/24,480 becomes achievable.

Failure to sustain above 24,050 could trap late bulls.

Let Tuesday’s opening structure guide your bias.

🧘 Final Thought"Structure is key. When levels work, respect them. When they break, adapt."

Stay alert as we approach higher resistance zones—momentum remains but risk of whipsaws rises.

✏️ DisclaimerThis is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action 🙏

Penafian

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