Indeks Nifty 50

NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 05-Dec-2024

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Trading Plan for Nifty – 05-Dec-2024

Intro: Previous Day's Chart Pattern
Nifty on 04-Dec-2024 displayed mixed momentum, with a clear rejection from the upper resistance zone near ₹24,550 - 24,570. The Yellow trend highlighted a consolidation phase, the Green trend signaled bullish potential during upward retracements, and the Red trend indicated bearish pressure around resistance levels. Key levels such as ₹24,345 acted as support, while the intraday resistance remained prominent at ₹24,772.

Plan for Different Opening Scenarios:

1. Gap-Up Opening (Above ₹24,647 by 100+ points)

If Nifty opens significantly above ₹24,647:
  1. []Key Resistance Levels: ₹24,772 and ₹24,804 will be the major zones to watch for profit booking and potential reversals.
    []Action Plan: Allow the first 15–30 minutes for price discovery. Look for pullbacks near ₹24,647 for entry into long positions, with a stop loss below ₹24,612. Targets will be ₹24,772 and ₹24,804.
    []Failure to Sustain Above ₹24,647: If prices fail to hold above ₹24,647, avoid longs and observe price action near ₹24,612 for re-entry possibilities.
    []Risk Management: Tighten stop losses when approaching the resistance zone to secure profits. Avoid aggressive long positions unless the bullish trend sustains.


2. Flat Opening (Within ₹24,316 to ₹24,461)

If Nifty opens near its previous close:
  1. []Key Support and Resistance Levels: ₹24,345 serves as opening support, while ₹24,461 and ₹24,647 are the immediate resistance zones.
    []Action Plan: Wait for a clear breakout or breakdown.

    Long positions can be initiated above ₹24,461, targeting ₹24,647 and ₹24,772, with a stop loss below ₹24,345.
    Short positions should be considered if the index breaks below ₹24,345, targeting ₹24,316 and ₹24,220, with a stop loss above ₹24,461.
  2. Risk Management: Trade cautiously within this range as the price may exhibit false breakouts. Use smaller position sizes during consolidation phases.

3. Gap-Down Opening (Below ₹24,345 by 100+ points)

If Nifty opens below ₹24,316:
  1. []Critical Support Levels: ₹24,220 will act as a critical support. Failure to sustain this level could lead to extended selling towards ₹24,100.
    []Action Plan:

    Monitor the first 15–30 minutes. If prices rebound from ₹24,220, consider long positions for targets of ₹24,316 and ₹24,345, with a stop loss below ₹24,200.
    If prices sustain below ₹24,220, initiate short positions for targets of ₹24,100 and ₹23,950, with a stop loss above ₹24,316.
  2. Risk Management: Avoid catching falling prices; confirm reversals before entering trades. Keep positions light in volatile conditions.

Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading:

Time Decay Awareness: Avoid holding out-of-the-money options close to expiry as premium erosion accelerates.
Defined Risk Strategies: Use options spreads like bull call or bear put spreads to cap risk.
Avoid Overleveraging: Limit position sizes to avoid large losses during sudden market movements.
Monitor Volatility: Consider implied volatility before entering positions; high volatility may lead to expensive premiums.
Summary and Conclusion:
Nifty’s price action for 05-Dec-2024 revolves around key levels of ₹24,647 on the upside and ₹24,220 on the downside. Traders should focus on these zones for clear directional movements. Proper risk management and a disciplined approach are essential, especially during volatile market conditions. Always confirm the trend before initiating trades and avoid overexposure to options positions.

Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational purposes and should not be treated as financial advice. Consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.

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