NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 14-Jul-2025

b]📊 NIFTY 50 INTRADAY PLAN – 14 JULY 2025 (15-Min Chart Study)
Educational insights for all opening scenarios: Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down.

📍 Previous Close: 25,140.55
📌 Gap opening threshold considered: 100+ points
⏱️ Tip: Let the first 15–30 minutes settle before entering trades based on levels.

📌 KEY LEVELS TO MONITOR

• []Resistance Zone: 25,460
  []Last Intraday Resistance: 25,318
  []Opening Support / Resistance Zone: 25,247
  []Opening Support / Resistance Zone: 25,152 – 25,123
  
• Last Intraday Support Zone: 25,088 – 25,050
  

🚀 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (Above 25,247) 📈
Bias: Bullish continuation possible

1. []If Nifty opens above 25,247, watch for continuation towards 25,318 (Last Intraday Resistance).
   []Sustainable strength above 25,318 can lead to 25,460. That’s the upper profit booking zone.
   []If price shows exhaustion candles near 25,460, avoid fresh longs. Instead, look for selling opportunities with tight stop-loss.
   []Options Traders: Prefer ATM or slightly ITM calls; avoid chasing far OTM CE after gap-up. Time decay will be sharp in such cases.
   

📊 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Near 25,140 – 25,152) 🔄
Bias: Neutral-to-bearish bias

1. []If the market opens around 25,140 – 25,152, focus on whether the 25,152 – 25,123 zone holds as support or flips as resistance.
   []If price holds above 25,152, there’s potential for a bounce towards 25,247.
   []If price breaks and sustains below 25,123, expect a gradual drift towards the Last Intraday Support: 25,088 – 25,050.
   []Avoid quick trades here — observe the first 30 minutes’ range before committing capital.
   

📉 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (Below 25,050) ⚠️
Bias: Bearish with bounce attempt from lower supports

1. []If Nifty opens below 25,050, immediate attention should be given to Last Intraday Support: 25,088 – 25,050.
   []If that zone breaks, next major support becomes psychological round numbers or extreme supports which may form intraday.
   []Aggressive selling should only be considered if prices show no reaction around this zone. Watch for hammer or reversal patterns before taking contra long trades.
   []Options Traders: Avoid buying deep OTM puts after a large gap-down as premiums often get inflated due to IV spikes.
   

💡 OPTIONS TRADING – RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS

• []Focus on ATM or ITM strikes to reduce theta impact on both CE and PE buying.
  []Apply Stop-Loss based on 15-minute candle closes instead of absolute price ticks to avoid noise.
  []If VIX is high, hedge with vertical spreads instead of naked options buying.
  []Strictly maintain a 1–2% max risk of your capital per trade.
  []Avoid over-trading after 2:45 PM as theta erosion accelerates in options.
  []Keep tracking Bank Nifty as well for broader market cues.
  

📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION

• []Bullish Trigger: Above 25,247 → Target 25,318 – 25,460
  []Neutral Zone: 25,140 – 25,152 → Wait and watch zone
  []Bearish Trigger: Below 25,123 → Watch 25,088 – 25,050 for bounce
  []Keep your discipline intact and avoid emotional trades.
  
• Options premium decay is real — always respect time and structure.
  

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please do your own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.