Where can we expect the budget week NIFTY expiry? Looking at the chart, the day started with a 200 point gap up, and 17600 acted as resistance. The nifty was down till 17250, then started a recovery, and ended the day below 17600. It is like we are all expected to be highly volatile on budget day. If I look at the chart, 17400 was tested multiple times, and the gap up helped to stay above. If there is any gap open for tomorrow, 17700 and 18000 are the first levels to watch. On the downside, 17400 will act as a support, and if there is a sharp move, we can roll up to 17600. There is also an observation. in nifty are multiple resistance zones there, but the bank nifty is now at a good level at 38800. It was tested multiple times. If any violation above occurs, we might see a break from the rage. That will also help nifty as well. Let's see how it is going to perform NIFTY after this budget announcement.
Coming to my position, I entered on Monday evening, Put side 16150 good premium. I'm not confident about selling CE because I was expecting a rally after crossing 17400, so I keep holding on to my PE side. Today, after the gap up opening, PE showed some good profit, and at about 10AM, I sold 18550CE. This position was already near 1%, and the vix crash helped. My plan is to squeeze everything from the position. I will only adjust my position on Thursday. I think it's a super safe position now.
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