- today 
NXT became a 25% position. for me that's huge, i only do this where i've a/ done the work and b/ have conviction in the price i'm paying
- in a market that's nosebleeding daily, could a 10% pullback on the index further wreck names that are on their backs 20%? sure. come on guys, anything possible in this world.
- but do i think that next year's $3.5/shr in EPS is high quality and mostly cash (no stock comp issue, good FCF conversion e.g. net income -> cash flow)... yes
- so say $3 of EPS on a net cash adjusted stock (read- no dilution) of $30 today... 10% cash yields on the only solar name a/ growing this year and b/ poised to further expand int'l in the coming years. attractive.
- again, i think this is a $45/shr stock (minimally) which is 15x that $3 and barely a 1.5x PEG. that's in today's terms. so from $34 to high 20s? max pain mid 20s? par for today's course. the risk/reward from an upside/ downside perspective if moving toward 3-1 in my estimation. i've even been trimming some of my
GDLC and 
BITW (good moves BTW!) to pay for larger $nxt. now *that's* rare... when i sell some 
BTC to buy something. i'm also maintaining still high cash balance (that allows me to make a big move like today)... so i'm 25% cash still.
be safe out there.
V
NXT became a 25% position. for me that's huge, i only do this where i've a/ done the work and b/ have conviction in the price i'm paying- in a market that's nosebleeding daily, could a 10% pullback on the index further wreck names that are on their backs 20%? sure. come on guys, anything possible in this world.
- but do i think that next year's $3.5/shr in EPS is high quality and mostly cash (no stock comp issue, good FCF conversion e.g. net income -> cash flow)... yes
- so say $3 of EPS on a net cash adjusted stock (read- no dilution) of $30 today... 10% cash yields on the only solar name a/ growing this year and b/ poised to further expand int'l in the coming years. attractive.
- again, i think this is a $45/shr stock (minimally) which is 15x that $3 and barely a 1.5x PEG. that's in today's terms. so from $34 to high 20s? max pain mid 20s? par for today's course. the risk/reward from an upside/ downside perspective if moving toward 3-1 in my estimation. i've even been trimming some of my
GDLC and BITW (good moves BTW!) to pay for larger $nxt. now *that's* rare... when i sell some BTC to buy something. i'm also maintaining still high cash balance (that allows me to make a big move like today)... so i'm 25% cash still.be safe out there.
V
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.