My bearish sentiment on NZDCAD are backed by the following confluences- 1) Market structure (BOS), 2) OB-supply, 3) Imbalance, 4) Liquidity. So my markups are done on the 4hr timeframe which is my major higher timeframe (HTF) used. So price has successfully broken structure lower showing a continuation in the bearish trend, and now price has started retracing back up but first filling up the imbalances, now i am waiting for price to reach my main point of interest which is the orderblock supply above @0.80600 to mitigate it. If price successfully reaches my orderblock supply zone and tends to respect to that supply zone, two things will likely happen there which are either price drops off without given me an entry structure on the lower timeframe(LTF) or it gives me an entry structure on the lower timeframe. But i will only execute the trade if I see my lower timeframe entry structure/model which is a-(HH,HL,HH,LL). Then if this structure emerges successfully i will then look for my lower timeframe supply level and imbalance as entry point to execute with my stop loss placed on the lower timeframe supply candle’s high then targeting a 1:3 minimum target with respect to whatever value my stop loss is, and my final target is the liquidity below which is @0.80220 Note: the financial market is all about probabilities, which also makes my analysis also a probability.
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