OXT / TetherUS
Panjang

OXT/USDT — Accumulation Before a Breakout or Further Decline?

105
📌 Overview
OXT/USDT is currently at a critical stage on the weekly chart, consolidating within the strong demand zone at 0.0465–0.0650 (yellow box) that has been tested multiple times since mid-2023. This area acts as the last line of defense for buyers before price enters uncharted multi-year lows. The macro structure remains in a long-term downtrend since the 2021 peak, but the base formation in this low zone opens up a significant opportunity for a medium-term relief rally if a breakout is confirmed.

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1. Key Technical Levels

Main Support / Demand Zone (yellow box): 0.0465 – 0.0650
→ This is the “floor” that has been holding price for nearly two years.

Minor Support: 0.0500 (psychological & repeated reaction level)

Layered Resistance Levels:
0.0731 → 0.1078 → 0.1555 → 0.2275 → 0.3208 → 0.4268 → 0.6620 → 0.8305

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2. Structure & Patterns

Macro Trend: A sequence of lower highs since 2021 → indicating the primary trend is still bearish.

Potential Pattern:

Base / Accumulation Range near multi-year lows → resembles an early rounding bottom, but not confirmed yet.

Possible spring pattern: brief drop below main support followed by a sharp reclaim.


Volume (not shown here): Often decreases near the bottom range, signaling sellers may be losing strength.

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3. Bullish Scenario (Relief Rally Potential)

💡 Conservative confirmation:

Break & weekly close above 0.0731.

Step-by-step targets: 0.1078 → 0.1555 → 0.2275.

0.1078 is the key breakout pivot; clearing it could trigger large-scale short covering.


⚡ Aggressive setup:

False breakdown below 0.0465 (spring) followed by a quick weekly close back above 0.050–0.055.

Initial target: 0.0650, then 0.0731 if momentum continues.

Best suited for swing traders aiming for high risk/reward.

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4. Bearish Scenario (Trend Continuation)

Clean weekly close below 0.0465 + failed retest (0.0465 turning into resistance).

Downside targets: 0.0400 then 0.0320.

Failure to break 0.0731 and forming another lower high would also indicate sellers remain in control.

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5. Strategic Notes

The 0.0465–0.0650 zone is the final battleground between long-term buyers and sellers controlling the macro trend.

Patience is required on this 1W timeframe; valid breakouts may take several weekly candles to confirm.

Aggressive traders may consider entries within the yellow box with tight stops below 0.0465, while conservative traders can wait for a confirmed breakout above key resistance.

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6. Key Takeaway

As long as price holds inside or above the yellow box, relief rally potential remains alive.

Breaking 0.0731 will be the first major signal of sentiment shift.

A breakdown below 0.0465 opens a new chapter in the long-term downtrend.

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Penafian

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