PATH Earnings Trade Overview (QS Premium) — 2025-12-03
Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: 60% | Conviction: Medium
Expiry: 2025-12-05 (2 days)
Strike Focus: $15.00
Entry Range: $0.91
Target 1: $1.35 (+50%)
Target 2: $1.80 (+100%)
Stop Loss: $0.54 (-40%)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
Market Context & Analysis
Katy AI: Neutral, slightly bearish (-3.73%, 50% confidence) → mild downward pressure.
Technical: Pre-earnings rally +7.48%, price near daily high ($14.87/$14.92), MACD bullish, stochastics overbought (82.4).
News: Earnings today; strong fundamentals — 100% beat rate, +41.4% avg surprise, 401% revenue growth.
Options Flow: Neutral PCR 0.77, implied move 13.3% ($1.97), some hedging at $16 put.
Risk Level: ELEVATED — high volatility (221% IV), Katy AI conflict, earnings binary event.
Trade Rationale
Edge: Strong fundamental history, earnings beat momentum, pre-market institutional positioning outweighs slight technical overbought and Katy’s bearish signal.
Timing Advantage: Earnings today with large implied move → positioned for post-earnings continuation.
Risk Management: Delta 0.511, tight stop, reduced size (2%) due to conflicting signals and extreme IV.
⚠️ Note: Extremely high volatility; monitor closely during earnings release, scale in/out to manage risk.
Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: 60% | Conviction: Medium
Expiry: 2025-12-05 (2 days)
Strike Focus: $15.00
Entry Range: $0.91
Target 1: $1.35 (+50%)
Target 2: $1.80 (+100%)
Stop Loss: $0.54 (-40%)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
Market Context & Analysis
Katy AI: Neutral, slightly bearish (-3.73%, 50% confidence) → mild downward pressure.
Technical: Pre-earnings rally +7.48%, price near daily high ($14.87/$14.92), MACD bullish, stochastics overbought (82.4).
News: Earnings today; strong fundamentals — 100% beat rate, +41.4% avg surprise, 401% revenue growth.
Options Flow: Neutral PCR 0.77, implied move 13.3% ($1.97), some hedging at $16 put.
Risk Level: ELEVATED — high volatility (221% IV), Katy AI conflict, earnings binary event.
Trade Rationale
Edge: Strong fundamental history, earnings beat momentum, pre-market institutional positioning outweighs slight technical overbought and Katy’s bearish signal.
Timing Advantage: Earnings today with large implied move → positioned for post-earnings continuation.
Risk Management: Delta 0.511, tight stop, reduced size (2%) due to conflicting signals and extreme IV.
⚠️ Note: Extremely high volatility; monitor closely during earnings release, scale in/out to manage risk.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak bertujuan, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat atau cadangan kewangan, pelaburan, dagangan atau jenis lain yang diberikan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca lebih dalam Terma Penggunaan.