📈 Symbol: PHM (PulteGroup)
⏳ Timeframe: Daily Chart
⚡ Strategy: Swing Trade (2-4 Weeks)
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $114.00 (Daily SMA 20 + Psychological Support)
Stop-Loss (SL): $104.80 (8% below entry, below SMA 50)
Take-Profit (TP): $133.10 (+16.7% upside, Historical Resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.4 (Controlled Risk, High Reward)
📊 Technical Analysis
✅ Trend:
Strong Uptrend across all timeframes (Daily, 4H, 1H).
Higher highs & higher lows confirmed.
✅ Key Support Levels:
$114: Confluence of Daily SMA 20 + 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
$110: Daily SMA 50 (Institutional accumulation zone).
✅ Indicators:
RSI (14): 69.51 (Neutral, no extreme overbought signal).
MACD: Bullish crossover + Positive histogram expansion.
Volume: Rising on bullish candles (Confirms buying interest).
Key Levels:
Resistance: $120 (Recent High), $133.10 (Final Target).
Strong Support: $104.80 (Technical SL level).
💰 Fundamental Backing
Strong Growth:
+Strong Growth in Net Income (+18.5% YoY).
Stable revenue in a resilient housing market.
Healthy Balance Sheet:
Minimal Debt (Score 10/10, Debt/Equity: 0.17).
Fair Valuation (P/E 8.13 – Undervalued vs. sector).
Catalyst: U.S. Housing Demand + Pro-Housing Policies.
⚡ Trade Execution Plan
1️⃣ Entry: $114.00 (Confirmed Technical Support Zone).
2️⃣ Stop-Loss: $104.80 (Protects against trend reversal).
3️⃣ Take-Profit: Scaled Exit –
TP1: $120.00 (Sell 50% to lock in profits).
TP2: $133.10 (Trailing stop to capture momentum).
4️⃣ Dynamic Management:
Move SL to $110 after reaching $120 (Secures gains).
📌 Why PHM?
Strong Sector: Housing market recovery with sustained demand.
High Liquidity: Avg. Volume ~2.5M shares (No slippage risk).
Technical + Fundamental Alignment:
Uptrend + Strong Fundamentals = High Probability Trade.
⚠️ Risk Management
Max Risk per Trade: 1-2% of capital.
Avoid Key Events: Interest rate reports (Check economic calendar).
🎯 Final Call: BUY PHM at $114, SL $104.80, TP $133.10.
🔔 Follow for More Swing Trade Setups!
👍 Like if You Find This Helpful!
#TradingView #Stocks #PHM #SwingTrading #RealEstate #TechnicalAnalysis
(Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own research.)
⏳ Timeframe: Daily Chart
⚡ Strategy: Swing Trade (2-4 Weeks)
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $114.00 (Daily SMA 20 + Psychological Support)
Stop-Loss (SL): $104.80 (8% below entry, below SMA 50)
Take-Profit (TP): $133.10 (+16.7% upside, Historical Resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.4 (Controlled Risk, High Reward)
📊 Technical Analysis
✅ Trend:
Strong Uptrend across all timeframes (Daily, 4H, 1H).
Higher highs & higher lows confirmed.
✅ Key Support Levels:
$114: Confluence of Daily SMA 20 + 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
$110: Daily SMA 50 (Institutional accumulation zone).
✅ Indicators:
RSI (14): 69.51 (Neutral, no extreme overbought signal).
MACD: Bullish crossover + Positive histogram expansion.
Volume: Rising on bullish candles (Confirms buying interest).
Key Levels:
Resistance: $120 (Recent High), $133.10 (Final Target).
Strong Support: $104.80 (Technical SL level).
💰 Fundamental Backing
Strong Growth:
+Strong Growth in Net Income (+18.5% YoY).
Stable revenue in a resilient housing market.
Healthy Balance Sheet:
Minimal Debt (Score 10/10, Debt/Equity: 0.17).
Fair Valuation (P/E 8.13 – Undervalued vs. sector).
Catalyst: U.S. Housing Demand + Pro-Housing Policies.
⚡ Trade Execution Plan
1️⃣ Entry: $114.00 (Confirmed Technical Support Zone).
2️⃣ Stop-Loss: $104.80 (Protects against trend reversal).
3️⃣ Take-Profit: Scaled Exit –
TP1: $120.00 (Sell 50% to lock in profits).
TP2: $133.10 (Trailing stop to capture momentum).
4️⃣ Dynamic Management:
Move SL to $110 after reaching $120 (Secures gains).
📌 Why PHM?
Strong Sector: Housing market recovery with sustained demand.
High Liquidity: Avg. Volume ~2.5M shares (No slippage risk).
Technical + Fundamental Alignment:
Uptrend + Strong Fundamentals = High Probability Trade.
⚠️ Risk Management
Max Risk per Trade: 1-2% of capital.
Avoid Key Events: Interest rate reports (Check economic calendar).
🎯 Final Call: BUY PHM at $114, SL $104.80, TP $133.10.
🔔 Follow for More Swing Trade Setups!
👍 Like if You Find This Helpful!
#TradingView #Stocks #PHM #SwingTrading #RealEstate #TechnicalAnalysis
(Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own research.)
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.