#SHIBUSDT Weekly Outlook — Mid-Cycle Reversal or Final Retest?

10 Mei

🐾 #SHIBUSDT Weekly Outlook — Mid-Cycle Reversal or Final Retest?
🗓 Published: May 10, 2025
📊 Timeframe: 1W | Exchange: Binance
Author: HamadaMark

🔍 Market Structure Overview
SHIB has completed a multi-year macro compression phase and is currently retesting the mid-cycle support zone, holding above critical levels for now. The chart now reflects two scenarios merging:

A descending macro channel

A forming double bottom reversal near key historical demand

📌 Observed Patterns:
✅ Macro descending channel
✅ Higher low structure vs. 2022–2023 base
✅ Failed breakdown attempt below $0.00001073
✅ Fibonacci levels and price memory still respected

🟦 Key Support Levels:
Main Support Zone: $0.00001103 – $0.00001073

Last Defense / Panic Level: $0.00000535
📛 Breakdown here = cycle invalidation, opens risk for full reset

Lower Historic Floor: $0.00000510 (cycle base)

🎯 Bullish Reversal Targets (Fib-Based):
TP1: $0.00001761 – Previous neckline zone

TP2: $0.00002828 – Channel midpoint / Fib 0.786

TP3: $0.00004176 – Macro W-pattern measured move

TP4: $0.00005842 – Fib 1.618 (Breakout extension)

TP5: $0.00008555 – 2.618 (2021 ATH retest territory)

📈 Potential upside: +200% to +400% if structure holds

🧠 Strategy Insight
• Long-term buyers may DCA in the blue zone
• Higher probability entries on reclaim of $0.000017–$0.000020
• Full confirmation only if SHIB breaks above $0.00002828 with volume
• Panic below $0.00000535 = invalidation of long-term accumulation thesis

💡 SHIB has historically delivered explosive returns after long consolidations — the current zone mirrors past setups.

🗣 What’s Next?
If bulls hold $0.000011–$0.000015 and reclaim mid-range resistances, we enter the next cycle phase.
A W-reversal is forming — neckline breakout will flip sentiment across the market.

📢 This is SHIB's final test — hold the base, and meme season returns. Lose it, and lights go off for a while.

we ask Allah reconcile and repay

16 Jul

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