SPX Model Trading Plans for THU. 01/12

12 Jan 2023

Inflation Numbers Good, but Not Great

The CPI numbers and Initial Jobless Claims this morning have not really provided any directional thrust other than a huge whipsaw. As of nearly one hour into the release, there is really no directional catalyst on the radar for today. Our models indicate choppy trading while the index is between the broader range of 3900-3965 on a daily close basis, with a mildly bullish bias while above 3965 but below 4002. The index has to clear 4002 for the bullish bias to settle in.

In our trading plans published yesterday, Monday, 01/09, we stated: "The index is now approaching the resistance band in the range of 3960-4002, and the price action in this range determines the next leg". This range is still in effect for today's session.

Positional Trading Models: Our positional trading models are currently flat and indicate staying flat until otherwise indicated.

By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.

Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.

Trading Plans for THU. 01/12:

Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4002, 3987, 3965, 3953, or 3936 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3997, 3961, or 3930 with a 9-point trailing stop. 

Models indicate no explicit long exits, and short exits on a cross above 3903 for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:41 am ET or later.

By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).

To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.

(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!) 

NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.

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