It’s Monday… and the markets are once again dancing like a puppet on a tweet-fuelled string.
One minute, tariff fears.
The next, selective exemptions for “favourites.”
Now the weekend’s over and futures are bouncing higher like none of it happened.
SPX looks set to test – or break – the 5400 bull trigger, and if you’ve been following the last few newsletters, you’ll know that’s a big one.
We’ve mapped it.
We’ve rejected it.
Now we’re staring it down… again.
---
The 5400 Line Returns
Let’s back up.
5400 has been my bull/bear trigger for weeks.
When we’re below it, I’m hunting bear swings.
Above? I start reassessing bullish setups, GEX bulls-eye trades, and pullback long entries.
This week, the GEX flip is also sitting around 5400.
That’s no coincidence.
It’s now more than just a price level –
It’s the emotional fault line between headline-driven panic and headline-driven hope.
So… do we flip bullish?
Not so fast.
Strategy: Structure First, Narrative Second
Just because futures are up doesn’t mean momentum is back.
We’ve seen far too many fakeouts, tweet-spikes, and algorithm blinks to trust the first move on a Monday.
That’s why my plan is simple this week:
✔️ 5400 is still the decision line
✔️ No aggressive trades until price confirms
✔️ Will adapt only if structure shifts – not just sentiment
This week isn’t about swinging for the fences.
It’s about precision. Patience. And setup clarity.
Behind the Charts: Tinkering, Rebuilding, Refining
While the markets work out their next identity crisis, I’m taking the time to:
Optimise my new charting layout
Tweak + update my indicator codebases
Re-align my tools for speed and efficiency
Because if the market wants to act like a circus,
I’ll tighten the tent and sharpen the knives.
---
Expert Insight – Don’t Rush the Flip
Common mistake:
Flipping long just because futures are green.
Fix:
Use anchored levels like 5400 as your decision points – and only flip bias when structure confirms.
GEX flips, pulse bars, and price action matter.
Tweets do not.
---
Fun Fact
Did you know?
In 2023–2024, over 60% of intraday SPX rallies over 1.5% failed to hold past 2 days when triggered by political headlines.
Translation?
Headline rallies are easy to sell into – unless they’re confirmed by price.
One minute, tariff fears.
The next, selective exemptions for “favourites.”
Now the weekend’s over and futures are bouncing higher like none of it happened.
SPX looks set to test – or break – the 5400 bull trigger, and if you’ve been following the last few newsletters, you’ll know that’s a big one.
We’ve mapped it.
We’ve rejected it.
Now we’re staring it down… again.
---
The 5400 Line Returns
Let’s back up.
5400 has been my bull/bear trigger for weeks.
When we’re below it, I’m hunting bear swings.
Above? I start reassessing bullish setups, GEX bulls-eye trades, and pullback long entries.
This week, the GEX flip is also sitting around 5400.
That’s no coincidence.
It’s now more than just a price level –
It’s the emotional fault line between headline-driven panic and headline-driven hope.
So… do we flip bullish?
Not so fast.
Strategy: Structure First, Narrative Second
Just because futures are up doesn’t mean momentum is back.
We’ve seen far too many fakeouts, tweet-spikes, and algorithm blinks to trust the first move on a Monday.
That’s why my plan is simple this week:
✔️ 5400 is still the decision line
✔️ No aggressive trades until price confirms
✔️ Will adapt only if structure shifts – not just sentiment
This week isn’t about swinging for the fences.
It’s about precision. Patience. And setup clarity.
Behind the Charts: Tinkering, Rebuilding, Refining
While the markets work out their next identity crisis, I’m taking the time to:
Optimise my new charting layout
Tweak + update my indicator codebases
Re-align my tools for speed and efficiency
Because if the market wants to act like a circus,
I’ll tighten the tent and sharpen the knives.
---
Expert Insight – Don’t Rush the Flip
Common mistake:
Flipping long just because futures are green.
Fix:
Use anchored levels like 5400 as your decision points – and only flip bias when structure confirms.
GEX flips, pulse bars, and price action matter.
Tweets do not.
---
Fun Fact
Did you know?
In 2023–2024, over 60% of intraday SPX rallies over 1.5% failed to hold past 2 days when triggered by political headlines.
Translation?
Headline rallies are easy to sell into – unless they’re confirmed by price.
Full-time trader and mentor since 2001
Focusing on short term income swings with SPX options, futures and occasionally stocks.
Focusing on short term income swings with SPX options, futures and occasionally stocks.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Full-time trader and mentor since 2001
Focusing on short term income swings with SPX options, futures and occasionally stocks.
Focusing on short term income swings with SPX options, futures and occasionally stocks.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.