Update on the markets - SPX GOLD SILVER USOIL

3 Jan

All in the video. The next few days will help to see if we will get a bounce or a quick move down to 4600. Metals and Oil also covered....

3 Jan

Nota

USOIL divided by QQQ - note the support zone. Ratio charts are suggesting OIL will outperform the markets (right now- that could change). Most people are bearish on Oil and the inflation trade in general.

3 Jan

Nota

on SPX if they come down into the close it may be a false breakdown. Either way watch for this wedge structure to break - one way or another. If they bounce target would be the gap fill above at 4770.

3 Jan

Nota

close up of wedge/channel.

3 Jan

Nota

aapl close to strong support at 182.5 a flush into close (if it occurs) would probably be a buy, although if they gap below this support tomorrow it will be a big problem for big tech. they all tend to follow aapl.

3 Jan

Nota

us oil channel. over 74 and it's a breakout

3 Jan

Nota

breakout, 18ma holding for today looks likely.

3 Jan

Nota

3 Jan

Nota

i forgot about the fed minutes at 2pm. AFter the pop out of the channel they came back in, Still holding the 18/20ma so far. A close under 4705 would signal more bearishness overnight most likely.

4 Jan

Nota

no real change overnight, just consolidating in the channel. On SPX futures, there is a break up candle near 4660 which may be support if we break down from here. 830 numbers will probably move it pretty good either way.

4 Jan

Nota

Still in the channel. they are buying it at support, and that makes sense, but because we opened under the 18ma, there is a chance of a rejection here. Under 4700 would be a problem for bulls.

4 Jan

Nota

NQ Bollinger band is 16300, I think it will get there today or tomorrow.

4 Jan

Nota

18ma reached, if bears want to spoil the party this is the area for them to sell it.

4 Jan

Nota

IWM showing a bear flag, I think we'll go down soon, will update if not.

4 Jan

Nota

rejection at 18ma so far, but just floating around. market looks to be waiting for tomorrows numbers

4 Jan

Nota

daily inverted hammer, many times this candle is formed right before a reversal - aka bear trap. I don't trust the market here, just going to go home flat.

You can read more about them here. commodity.com/technical-analysis/inverted-hammer/

4 Jan

Nota

the fact that they waited until the very end to break 4700 is suspicious. I think they are going to gap this up tomorrow. I could be wrong.

5 Jan

Nota

good morning, after the numbers they tested the breakup candle area and it looks like a reversal. I expect a bounce for a few days at least. Target may be the 18ma again or higher.

5 Jan

Nota

usoil looks to be breaking out of it's channel. Should not get below it's daily 18ma if it's going to continue.

5 Jan

Nota

nq reached its bollinger band and will likely test its 18ma at 16800

5 Jan

Nota

if one more low happens today it is very likely a bear trap.

5 Jan

Nota

a bull and then bear trap would look like this

5 Jan

Nota

if they get under 4700 this MAY be playing out, we'll see. I'm suspicious of fast moves like this. Usually they are a trap.

5 Jan

Nota

this is the area bulls need to get over. Right now I think it's going to reject from here and gap down Monday.

5 Jan

Nota

a gap down monday looks likely but it would probably be a buy opportunity.